New England Revolution defeat FC Cincinnati 3-2: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Oct 14, 2026 · MLS · New England Revolution 3, FC Cincinnati 2
New England Revolution won 3–2 at TQL Stadium on Wednesday, October 14, an upset victory that also went over 3.5 goals. AiQ backed the over at 54% confidence and won that pick, but finished 2–2 overall after missing the moneyline.
New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati final score and match recap
New England Revolution defeated FC Cincinnati 3-2 in a match that saw both teams score in each half. The Revolution led 2-1 at halftime behind a two-goal performance from Dor Turgeman, who benefited from two assists by Peyton Miller. The second half followed the same pattern: each side added one goal, leaving the Revolution with a 3-2 final margin. Turgeman's brace and Miller's double-assist proved decisive.
Did New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati go over or under the goals total?
The match finished at five combined goals, clearing the 3.5 total by 1.5. AiQ's over 3.5 pick at 54% confidence won.
How did AiQ's New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati predictions do?
AiQ finished 2–2 across every graded pick.
- Moneyline: picked FC Cincinnati at +117 — loss.
- Total: picked Over 3.5 — win.
- Player props: 1–1 record, netting +$35 on $100 per pick.
AiQ correctly identified the high-scoring nature of the match but favored Cincinnati despite the Revolution's upset win.
New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati player prop results
AiQ's player prop record was 1–1, netting +$35.
- Carles Gil (New England Revolution) to record a goal scorer anytime at +160; actual: 0 — loss.
- Tom Barlow (FC Cincinnati) to record a goal scorer anytime at +135; actual: 1 — win.
New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score
- Draw no bet: New England Revolution cashed at +115.
- Both teams to score: Yes, paying -320.
New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline was New England Revolution +182, Draw +293, FC Cincinnati +117. Removing the vig, implied probabilities were 33% for New England, 43% for Cincinnati, and 24% for a draw, with a 7.0% bookmaker margin. The Revolution, the underdog at +182, won outright, turning a $100 wager into a $182 profit.
AiQ's moneyline expectation was -2.9% at -115 (best price at Fanatics), with the market implying 52% win probability for FC Cincinnati and AiQ's calibrated estimate at 52%. This was a negative-expected-value price: AiQ liked the side but not the odds.
New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati betting trends: 2026 season
New England Revolution sit at 15–4–10 (W–D–L) through 29 matches, with a 9–2–3 home record and 6–2–7 away/neutral. In 25 matches with a recorded closing total, they hit the over 15 times and the under 10 times. Their last five results: W, L, L, W, W.
FC Cincinnati sit at 9–9–10 (W–D–L) through 28 matches, with a 7–3–3 home record and 2–6–7 away/neutral. In 25 matches with a recorded total, they went over 16 times and under 9 times. Their last five results: L, W, L, D, D.
What's next for New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati?
New England Revolution travel to Philadelphia Union on Saturday, October 24. FC Cincinnati host D.C. United on Wednesday, October 21.