Inter Miami CF defeat New York City FC 2-0: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Oct 14, 2026 · MLS · New York City FC 0, Inter Miami CF 2
Inter Miami CF defeated New York City FC 2–0 on Wednesday, October 14 at Nu Stadium. Inter Miami covered the -205 moneyline and the total finished under 3.5 goals.
New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF final score and match recap
Inter Miami CF scored twice in the first half through Rodrigo De Paul and Germán Berterame, then held New York City FC scoreless for the remainder of the match.
Did New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF go over or under the goals total?
The match finished with 2 goals, 1.5 under the 3.5 line. Both goals arrived in the first half; no further scoring occurred after the break. AiQ's Under 3.5 pick at 58% confidence won.
How did AiQ's New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF predictions do?
AiQ finished 2–2 across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Inter Miami CF at -205 — WIN (+$48.78 on a $100 bet)
- Total: Under 3.5 — WIN
- Player props: 0–2 — LOSS
AiQ correctly identified the winner and the low-scoring nature of the contest but missed both player-prop selections.
New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF player prop results
AiQ went 0–2 on player props, losing $200 on the two wagers.
- Luis Suárez (Inter Miami CF) to record a goal scorer anytime at +140; actual: 0 — LOSS
- Andrés Perea (New York City FC) to record a goal scorer anytime at +1000; actual: 0 — LOSS
Both selected players failed to score, confirming that the prop market overestimated their scoring likelihood.
New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score
- Draw no bet: Inter Miami CF cashed (paid -475) — the home side won outright.
- Both teams to score: No (paid +155) — New York City FC failed to score, and the market correctly reflected that outcome.
New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline listed New York City FC at +443, Draw at +367, and Inter Miami CF at -205. After vig removal, the implied probabilities were 17% for New York City FC, 63% for Inter Miami CF, and 20% for a draw, with a bookmaker margin of 7.0%. AiQ's pre-game calibrated estimate placed Inter Miami CF's win probability at 65%, matching the market's vig-removed probability. AiQ assessed the -190 price (best available at BetRivers) as slightly negative-EV at -0.9%. The line held steady, and Inter Miami CF won as the favorite.
New York City FC and Inter Miami CF betting trends: 2026 season
New York City FC sits at 8–9–12 (W–D–L) in 29 games. At home they are 4–4–6; away or on neutral ground, 4–5–6. In 26 games with a recorded total, they have hit the over 12 times and the under 14 times. Their last five results are L, L, D, L, W, leaving them on a two-game losing streak.
Inter Miami CF holds a 14–10–5 record in 29 games, with a 6–7–2 home mark and an 8–3–3 away/neutral record. Out of 25 games with a recorded total, they have gone over 15 times and under 10 times. Their recent form shows W, W, L, D, D, and they are on a two-game winning streak.
What's next for New York City FC and Inter Miami CF?
New York City FC travels to Orlando City SC on Saturday, October 24. Inter Miami CF heads to Red Bull New York on the same day.