Orlando City SC and Toronto FC draw 3-3: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Oct 14, 2026 · MLS · Orlando City SC 3, Toronto FC 3
Orlando City SC and Toronto FC finished 3–3 on Wednesday, October 14 at BMO Field. The match went over the 3.5-goal total, with six goals scored across both halves. AiQ finished 1–2 on its graded picks.
Orlando City SC vs. Toronto FC final score and match recap
Did Orlando City SC vs. Toronto FC go over or under the goals total?
The match went over 3.5, finishing with six goals. AiQ's over 3.5 pick at 60% confidence was a winner.
How did AiQ's Orlando City SC vs. Toronto FC predictions do?
AiQ finished 1–2 across every graded pick.
- Moneyline: Orlando City SC at +178 (56% confidence) – loss, –$100 on a $100 bet.
- Total: Over 3.5 – win.
- Player props: 0–1 – loss, –$100 on a $100 bet.
AiQ correctly identified the high-scoring nature of the contest but overvalued Orlando's win probability and missed on its sole player prop.
Orlando City SC vs. Toronto FC player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record stands at 0–1, resulting in a net loss of $100.
- Iván Angulo (Orlando City SC) to record a goal scorer anytime at +360; actual: 0 – loss.
Orlando City SC vs. Toronto FC game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score
- Draw no bet: The match ended in a draw, so stakes were refunded.
- Both teams to score: Both sides scored, paying –340.
Orlando City SC vs. Toronto FC odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline was Orlando City SC +178, Draw +292, Toronto FC +118, implying win probabilities of 34% for Orlando, 43% for Toronto, and 24% for a draw after vigorish removal. The bookmaker margin was 7.4%. AiQ's internal valuation placed Orlando at 35% probability, marginally higher than the market's 34%, generating +0.7% expected value at +185 (the best available at Betrivers). The pick carried positive expected value despite the loss.
Orlando City SC and Toronto FC betting trends: 2026 season
Orlando City SC sits at 11–5–13 through 29 matches, with a strong home record of 8–2–4 but a weaker away/neutral slate of 3–3–9. In 26 matches with a recorded closing total, the club saw 16 overs and 10 unders. Toronto FC holds a 7–12–10 record over the same span, posting a 5–9–2 home ledger and a 2–3–8 away/neutral tally. In 26 matches with a recorded closing total, they produced 15 overs and 11 unders.
What's next for Orlando City SC and Toronto FC?
Orlando City SC will host New York City FC on Saturday, October 24. Toronto FC travels to Columbus Crew on the same day.