San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids draw 1-1: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · MLS · San Jose Earthquakes 1, Colorado Rapids 1
San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids drew 1–1 on Saturday, October 10, at Dick's Sporting Goods Park. The total finished under 2.5 goals. AiQ's model backed Colorado Rapids on the moneyline at –115 but the pick lost; the model also overestimated scoring and went 1–5 across all graded selections.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Colorado Rapids final score and match recap
Colorado Rapids opened the scoring in the first half through Donavan Phillip. San Jose Earthquakes equalized in the second half when Dave Romney scored off an assist from Ronaldo Vieira. The match ended 1–1, with both sides creating chances but neither able to break through after the opening goals.
Did San Jose Earthquakes vs. Colorado Rapids go over or under the goals total?
The match produced 2 goals, finishing under the 2.5 total by 0.5. Scoring split evenly across halves—one per side—keeping the total low throughout.
How did AiQ's San Jose Earthquakes vs. Colorado Rapids predictions do?
AiQ finished 1–5 across every graded pick on this fixture.
- Moneyline: Colorado Rapids –115 – LOSS (–$100 on a $100 bet)
- Total: Over 2.5 – LOSS
- Player props: 1–3 – LOSS (–$100 on $100 per pick)
The model identified Colorado Rapids as the favorite but missed the draw outcome. It also overestimated goal volume. Only one player prop landed.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Colorado Rapids player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record was 1–3, netting a loss of $100 on $100 stakes.
- Paxten Aaronson (Colorado Rapids) to score anytime at +265 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Daniel Munie (San Jose Earthquakes) to score anytime at +1300 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Donavan Phillip (Colorado Rapids) to score anytime at +200 – actual 1 – WIN
- Loic Williams (Colorado Rapids) over 0.5 shots on target at +500 – actual 0 – LOSS
Only Donavan Phillip delivered on his line.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Colorado Rapids game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score
- Draw no bet: match drawn, stakes refunded.
- Both teams to score: Yes, paid –205.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Colorado Rapids odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline closed at San Jose Earthquakes +262, Draw +273, Colorado Rapids –115. After vig removal, implied probabilities were 26% San Jose, 25% draw, 50% Colorado, with a bookmaker margin of 7.9%. A $100 bet on the draw would have returned $273 profit.
AiQ's pre-game expected value for Colorado Rapids at –107 was –2.1%, a negative-EV price despite the model's 57% confidence. The market's implied win probability of 51% matched AiQ's calibrated estimate, confirming the line's alignment with the model's outlook.
San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids betting trends: 2026 season
San Jose Earthquakes sit at 13–7–8 through 28 matches: 6–3–5 at home, 7–4–3 away or neutral. Their over/under record across 26 games is perfectly split at 13–13. Their last five results read D, W, D, W, W.
Colorado Rapids stand at 11–4–13 after 28 contests. They dominate at home (9–2–3) but struggle on the road (2–2–10). Their over/under record from 26 games shows 11 overs and 15 unders. Their recent five results read D, L, D, W, D.
What's next for San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids?
San Jose Earthquakes travel to FC Dallas on Saturday, October 24. Colorado Rapids host Vancouver Whitecaps on the same day.