Nashville SC defeat Austin FC 4-1: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · MLS · Nashville SC 4, Austin FC 1
Nashville SC routed Austin FC 4–1 on Saturday, October 10 at Q2 Stadium, cashing the moneyline at -158 and going over the total of 2.5 goals.
Nashville SC vs. Austin FC final score and match recap
Nashville SC scored once in the first half, then added three unanswered goals in the second to finish 4–1. Shakur Mohammed led Nashville with a goal and an assist, while Reed Baker-Whiting added a second goal. Brandon Vázquez scored for Austin, assisted by Facundo Torres.
Did Nashville SC vs. Austin FC go over or under the goals total?
The match produced five combined goals, clearing the 2.5 line. Nashville's first-half goal was followed by four second-half strikes—three by Nashville, one by Austin. AiQ's over 2.5 pick at 58% confidence won.
How did AiQ's Nashville SC vs. Austin FC predictions do?
AiQ posted a 3–4 record across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Nashville SC at -158 – WIN (+$63.29 on a $100 bet)
- Total: Over 2.5 – WIN
- Player props: 1–4 – LOSS (−$255 on $100 per pick)
The model correctly identified the winner and the high-scoring nature of the match but missed four of five player prop targets.
Nashville SC vs. Austin FC player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record was 1–4, netting a loss of $255 on $100 per pick.
- Hany Mukhtar (Nashville SC) to score anytime at +145; actual: 1 – WIN
- Jon Bell (Austin FC) over 0.5 assists at +1500; actual: 0 – LOSS
- Jon Bell (Austin FC) over 0.5 shots at +210; actual: 0 – LOSS
- Sam Surridge (Nashville SC) to score anytime at -115; actual: 0 – LOSS
- Cristian Espinoza (Nashville SC) over 0.5 assists at +165; actual: 0 – LOSS
Only Mukhtar reached his goal line.
Nashville SC vs. Austin FC game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score
- Draw no bet: Nashville SC cashed (paid -380).
- Both teams to score: Yes (paid -150).
Nashville SC vs. Austin FC odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline listed Nashville SC at -158, a draw at +297, and Austin FC at +370. After removing vigorish, Nashville carried a 57% implied win probability. The market's vig was 7.7%. AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation placed Nashville at -120 with a 55% implied probability, matching the market's estimate after vig removal and yielding a slight positive-EV edge.
Nashville SC and Austin FC betting trends: 2026 season
Nashville SC sits at 19–6–3 through 28 games, with a dominant 13–1–0 home record and a 6–5–3 away/neutral split. In 26 games with a recorded total, they saw 15 overs and 11 unders. Their last five results read W, W, W, D, L, extending a three-match winning streak.
Austin FC holds a 7–10–11 record in 28 contests, posting 4–6–4 at home and 3–4–7 away/neutral. Their 26 total-line games produced 14 overs and 12 unders. Recent form shows L, D, D, W, D.
What's next for Nashville SC and Austin FC?
Nashville SC travels to CF Montréal on Saturday, October 24. Austin FC heads to Sporting Kansas City the same day.