Portland Timbers and Sporting Kansas City draw 3-3: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · MLS · Portland Timbers 3, Sporting Kansas City 3
Portland Timbers and Sporting Kansas City drew 3–3 on Saturday, October 10 at Sporting Park. The match went over the 3.5-goal total, finishing with six combined goals. AiQ backed the draw at +292 with 58% confidence and won that pick, but missed the total and five of six player props for a 2–6 record overall.
Portland Timbers vs. Sporting Kansas City final score and match recap
Portland scored twice in the first half while Sporting Kansas City replied once, leaving halftime at 2–1 to the visitors. In the second half, Sporting Kansas City scored twice and Portland scored once, with the match ending 3–3.
Ariel Lassiter led Portland with a goal and an assist. David Da Costa added the Timbers' third. For Sporting Kansas City, André Luiz scored twice and Justin Reynolds contributed once. Neither side found a winner in regulation.
Did Portland Timbers vs. Sporting Kansas City go over or under the goals total?
The match finished with six goals, clearing the 3.5-goal line by 2.5. AiQ had taken the under at 3.5 with 56% confidence. The pick lost.
How did AiQ's Portland Timbers vs. Sporting Kansas City predictions do?
AiQ posted a 2–6 record across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Draw at +292 – WIN (+$292 on a $100 bet)
- Total goals: Under 3.5 – LOSS
- Player props: 1–5 – LOSS (−$380 on $100 per pick)
The model correctly identified the draw but missed the total and five of six player props.
Portland Timbers vs. Sporting Kansas City player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record was 1–5, netting a loss of $380 on $100 stakes per pick.
- Wyatt Meyer (Sporting Kansas City) to score anytime at +2200 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Calvin Harris (Sporting Kansas City) over 1.5 shots on target at +150 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Wyatt Meyer (Sporting Kansas City) over 0.5 shots on target at +340 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Stephen Afrifa (Sporting Kansas City) over 0.5 assists at +250 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Vincent Janssen (Portland Timbers) to score anytime at +120 – actual 1 – WIN
- Emir Karic (Sporting Kansas City) over 0.5 assists at +500 – actual 0 – LOSS
Vincent Janssen's goal was the lone successful pick.
Portland Timbers vs. Sporting Kansas City game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score
- Draw no bet: match drawn, stakes refunded
- Both teams to score: Yes – paid −340
Portland Timbers vs. Sporting Kansas City odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline closed at Portland Timbers +118, Draw +292, Sporting Kansas City +178. Removing the vig, the implied probabilities were 43% for Portland, 34% for Sporting Kansas City, and 24% for a draw, with a bookmaker margin of 7.4%.
A $100 wager on the draw returned a $292 profit. AiQ's internal expected value calculation placed the draw at −4.3% when the best available price was +325 at Fanatics.
Portland Timbers and Sporting Kansas City betting trends: 2026 season
Portland Timbers sit at 9–6–13 in 28 matches, with a home record of 7–3–4 and an away/neutral record of 2–3–9. Their over/under line has split evenly at 13 overs and 13 unders in 26 games with a recorded closing total. Their last five results: D, L, L, L, D.
Sporting Kansas City sits at 6–4–18 in 28 matches, posting a 3–4–7 home record and a 3–0–11 away/neutral record. Their over/under tally stands at 13 overs and 12 unders in 25 games with a closing total. Their last five results: D, L, W, L, W.
What's next for Portland Timbers and Sporting Kansas City?
Portland Timbers will host Charlotte FC on Saturday, October 24. Sporting Kansas City will host Austin FC on the same day.