Red Bull New York defeat San Diego FC 4-1: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · MLS · San Diego FC 1, Red Bull New York 4
Red Bull New York defeated San Diego FC 4–1 on Saturday, October 10, at Sports Illustrated Stadium. The match went over 3.5 total goals, finishing with five. AiQ went 0–3 on all graded picks, backing the under and a draw moneyline that both failed to materialize.
San Diego FC vs. Red Bull New York final score and match recap
Red Bull New York built a commanding 3–0 halftime lead and never relinquished it. San Diego FC scored once in the second half through Cédric Bakambu, assisted by Anders Dreyer, but the home side added a fourth goal to seal the 4–1 victory. Jorge Ruvalcaba contributed a goal and an assist for Red Bull New York, while Devin Padelford added the fourth tally.
Did San Diego FC vs. Red Bull New York go over or under the goals total?
The match produced five goals, clearing the 3.5 total by 1.5. The first half alone accounted for three goals, with two more added in the second half. AiQ had selected the under 3.5 with 55% confidence and lost.
How did AiQ's San Diego FC vs. Red Bull New York predictions do?
AiQ finished 0–3 on all graded picks:
- Moneyline: Draw at +290 – loss ($–100)
- Total goals: Under 3.5 – loss
- Player props: 0–1 – loss ($–100)
The model incorrectly favored a draw and the under on a match that produced five goals and a decisive home victory.
San Diego FC vs. Red Bull New York player prop results
AiQ's player prop record was 0–1, netting a $–100 loss:
- Aníbal Godoy (San Diego FC) to score anytime at +1200; actual goals 0 – loss
San Diego FC vs. Red Bull New York game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score
- Draw no bet: Red Bull New York cashed (paid –120)
- Both teams to score: Yes (paid –340)
Red Bull New York's early dominance made the draw-no-bet market profitable for the home side, while both teams finding the net validated the both-teams-to-score selection.
San Diego FC vs. Red Bull New York odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline closed at San Diego FC +152, Draw +290, Red Bull New York +137. After vig removal, implied probabilities were 37% for San Diego FC, 39% for Red Bull New York, and 24% for a draw, with a bookmaker margin of 7.5%. Red Bull New York, the slight favorite at +137, won and a $100 stake returned $137. AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation placed the draw at –5.5%, with market implied probability and AiQ's calibrated estimate both at 24%—a negative-expected-value price.
San Diego FC and Red Bull New York betting trends: 2026 season
San Diego FC sits at 8–8–12 through 28 games, with a 6–3–5 record at home and 2–5–7 away or neutral. In 25 games with a recorded total, the team has gone over 14 times and under 11. Their last five results are loss, draw, draw, loss, loss.
Red Bull New York stands at 10–6–12 in 28 matches, with identical home and away/neutral records of 5–3–6 each. In 26 games with a closing total, they have recorded 12 overs and 14 unders. Their recent form reads win, loss, win, win, loss.
What's next for San Diego FC and Red Bull New York?
San Diego FC will host Seattle Sounders FC on Saturday, October 24. Red Bull New York will host Inter Miami CF on the same day.