Charlotte FC defeat FC Dallas 3-2: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · MLS · FC Dallas 2, Charlotte FC 3

Charlotte FC defeated FC Dallas 3-2 on Saturday, October 10 at Bank of America Stadium. The match finished with five goals, clearing the 3.5 total by 1.5.

FC Dallas vs. Charlotte FC final score and match recap

FC Dallas led 1-0 at halftime. The home side dominated the second half. Idan Toklomati scored twice and added an assist to spark the comeback, while Harry Toffolo added a third. Charlotte's second-half surge—scoring three goals to Dallas's one—secured a 3-2 victory.

Did FC Dallas vs. Charlotte FC go over or under the goals total?

The match went over 3.5, finishing at five goals. The first half produced one goal per side; the second half saw Charlotte score twice more while Dallas added one. AiQ's Over 3.5 pick at 54% confidence won.

How did AiQ's FC Dallas vs. Charlotte FC predictions do?

AiQ finished 2-1 across graded picks.

The model correctly identified Charlotte as the winner and the high-scoring nature of the contest. It missed on Osaze Urhoghide, who did not score.

FC Dallas vs. Charlotte FC player prop results

AiQ's player-prop record was 0-1, losing $100.

FC Dallas vs. Charlotte FC game prop results: both teams to score and draw no bet

FC Dallas vs. Charlotte FC odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The three-way moneyline was FC Dallas +203, Draw +280, Charlotte FC +107. Removing the vig, the implied probabilities were 31% for Dallas, 45% for Charlotte, and 24% for a draw, with a bookmaker margin of 7.6%. Charlotte, the moneyline favorite, won and paid +107 on a $100 stake. AiQ's pre-game expected-value estimate was -1.9% at +120, indicating the model liked Charlotte but found the price slightly negative-EV. The market's 45% implied probability matched AiQ's calibrated estimate.

FC Dallas sits at 13-8-7 through 28 matches. At home they are 6-5-2; on the road or neutral they are 7-3-5. In 26 matches with a recorded total, they have hit the over 16 times and the under 10 times. Their last five results are L, W, D, W, W.

Charlotte FC is also 13-7-8 after 28 matches. At home they are 8-4-3; away or neutral they are 5-3-5. They share the same 16 overs and 10 unders split in 26 matches with a closing total. Their last five results are W, L, W, D, W.

What's next for FC Dallas and Charlotte FC?

FC Dallas will host the San Jose Earthquakes on Saturday, October 24. Charlotte FC travels to face the Portland Timbers the same day.