Philadelphia Union defeat Real Salt Lake 2-1: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · MLS · Real Salt Lake 1, Philadelphia Union 2
Philadelphia Union defeated Real Salt Lake 2–1 on Saturday, October 10 at Subaru Park. The Union covered the –297 moneyline, and the total went under 3.5 goals.
Real Salt Lake vs. Philadelphia Union final score and match recap
Philadelphia struck first, taking a 1–0 lead into halftime. Real Salt Lake and Philadelphia Union each scored once in the second half, with Saba Lobjanidze scoring for Real Salt Lake assisted by Luc de Fougerolles, and Bruno Damiani and Milan Iloski scoring for Philadelphia Union to seal a 2–1 victory.
Did Real Salt Lake vs. Philadelphia Union go over or under the goals total?
Three goals were scored, finishing under the 3.5 total. AiQ took the over at 58% confidence and lost.
How did AiQ's Real Salt Lake vs. Philadelphia Union predictions do?
AiQ finished 3–5 across all graded picks on this match.
- Moneyline: Philadelphia Union –297 – WIN (+$33.67 on a $100 bet)
- Total: Over 3.5 – LOSS
- Player props: 2–4 – LOSS (net –$190)
The model correctly identified the Union as the winner but missed the total and player prop selections.
Real Salt Lake vs. Philadelphia Union player prop results
AiQ's player prop record was 2–4, netting –$190 on $100 per pick.
- Cavan Sullivan (Philadelphia Union) to score anytime @ +195; actual 0 – LOSS
- Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia Union) to score anytime @ +130; actual 1 – WIN
- DeAndre Yedlin (Real Salt Lake) over 0.5 shots @ +320; actual 0 – LOSS
- Noel Caliskan (Real Salt Lake) over 0.5 assists @ +900; actual 0 – LOSS
- Milan Iloski (Philadelphia Union) to score anytime @ –125; actual 1 – WIN
- Aiden Hezarkhani (Real Salt Lake) to score anytime @ +425; actual 0 – LOSS
Damiani and Iloski both scored as predicted. All other selections failed to hit.
Real Salt Lake vs. Philadelphia Union game prop results: both teams to score and draw no bet
- Both teams to score: Yes (paid –170)
- Draw no bet: Philadelphia Union cashed (paid –800)
Real Salt Lake vs. Philadelphia Union odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline closed at Real Salt Lake +633, Draw +438, Philadelphia Union –297. After removing the vig, implied probabilities were 13% for Real Salt Lake, 70% for Philadelphia, and 17% for a draw, with a 7.0% bookmaker margin. The Union's –297 price paid $33.67 on a $100 stake.
AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation used a –275 line, estimating a 73% win probability. The market implied the same 73% probability after vig removal, making the –297 price negative-EV for AiQ—the model liked the side but not the price.
Real Salt Lake and Philadelphia Union betting trends: 2026 season
Real Salt Lake sits 9–5–14 through 28 matches, with an 8–2–4 home record and 1–3–10 away/neutral record. In 25 games with a recorded total, they have 12 overs and 13 unders. Their last five results are L, W, L, L, L.
Philadelphia Union holds a 12–6–10 record in 28 games, posting a 7–4–3 home mark and 5–2–7 away/neutral record. They have logged 17 overs and 9 unders in 26 total-line games. The Union is on a seven-game winning streak.
What's next for Real Salt Lake and Philadelphia Union?
Real Salt Lake will host St. Louis CITY SC on Saturday, October 24. Philadelphia Union will welcome New England Revolution on the same date, also at home.