Chicago Fire FC defeat New York City FC 2-1: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · MLS · New York City FC 1, Chicago Fire FC 2
Chicago Fire FC defeated New York City FC 2–1 on Saturday, October 10 at Soldier Field. The match opened with New York City FC's early goal, but Chicago Fire FC scored twice in the second half to claim the victory. The combined three goals resulted in a push on the total.
New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC final score and match recap
Chicago Fire FC won 2–1 at Soldier Field on Saturday, October 10. New York City FC struck first, holding a 1–0 lead at halftime through Hannes Wolf's goal, assisted by Agustin Ojeda. Chicago Fire FC's second-half surge proved decisive: Maren Haile-Selassie scored and added an assist, while Anton Saletros also found the net to secure the 2–1 final.
Did New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC go over or under the goals total?
The total landed exactly on 3, resulting in a push. New York City FC's first-half goal was followed by two second-half Chicago Fire FC goals. AiQ's Under 3 pick at 60% confidence also pushed.
How did AiQ's New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC predictions do?
AiQ finished 1–1–1 across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Chicago Fire FC at -125 — WIN (+$80 on a $100 bet)
- Total: Under 3 — PUSH
- Player props: 0–1 (−$100 on $100 per pick)
AiQ correctly identified Chicago Fire FC as the winner. The total pick missed the exact line, and the sole player-prop selection did not hit.
New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record stood at 0–1, netting a loss of $100 on the $100 stake per pick.
- Maren Haile-Selassie (Chicago Fire FC) over 1.5 shots on target at +200; actual: 1 — LOSS
New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score
- Draw no bet: Chicago Fire FC cashed (paid -260)
- Both teams to score: Yes (paid -205)
New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline was New York City FC +282, Draw +290, and Chicago Fire FC -125. After vig removal, the implied probabilities were 24% for New York City FC, 24% for a draw, and 52% for Chicago Fire FC, with a bookmaker margin of 7.4%. Chicago Fire FC entered as the favorite and delivered an $80 profit on a $100 wager. AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation placed the Chicago Fire FC line at +0.5% at -115, indicating a slight positive-EV edge. The market's implied win probability of 54% matched AiQ's calibrated estimate, confirming pricing alignment.
New York City FC and Chicago Fire FC betting trends: 2026 season
New York City FC holds an 8–9–11 record through 28 matches, with a 4–4–6 home record and 4–5–5 away/neutral split. In 26 contests with a recorded closing total, the club hit the under 14 times and the over 12 times. Their last five results: L, D, L, W, L.
Chicago Fire FC boasts a 14–6–8 record over 28 matches, including a dominant 9–1–4 home slate and a balanced 5–5–4 away/neutral record. Of 25 games with a closing total, the team saw the over 13 times and the under 12 times. Chicago Fire FC has won three straight, with the last five outcomes: W, W, W, L, L.
What's next for New York City FC and Chicago Fire FC?
New York City FC travels to Orlando City SC on Saturday, October 24. Chicago Fire FC heads to Atlanta United FC on the same date.