Toledo Rockets vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 5

Thu, Nov 5, 8:00 PM ET · Breslin Center · NCAAB

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Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Toledo Rockets at Michigan State Spartans is on Thursday, November 5, 2026, at Breslin Center.

Moneyline

AiQ gives Michigan State Spartans a 95% confidence rating to beat Toledo Rockets, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 98.4% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 98.6%. The price on record, -9000, is priced below a fair 98.4% chance (−0.5% value).

Total

AiQ gives the under 155.5 points a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.

Spread

AiQ gives Toledo Rockets +26.5 a 58% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.

Trends in play

Recent results against the spread back the Toledo Rockets, the underdog here. The Toledo Rockets covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

Recent totals lean under. The Toledo Rockets went under the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.