South Alabama Jaguars vs UCF Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 10

Tue, Nov 10, 7:00 PM ET · Addition Financial Arena · NCAAB

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

South Alabama Jaguars at UCF Knights is on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, at Addition Financial Arena.

The story

The South Alabama Jaguars have won 1 of their 2 games this season. The UCF Knights have won both of their games this season.

Moneyline

AiQ gives UCF Knights a 94% confidence rating to beat South Alabama Jaguars, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 93.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 93.2%. The best price, -1400 at Fanatics, is priced near the fair price of -1373 (−0.1% value).

Total

AiQ gives the over 151.5 points a 58% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.6%. The best price, -110 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -105 (−2.0% value).

Spread

AiQ gives South Alabama Jaguars +14.5 a 57% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 48.4% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 49.3%. The best price, -102 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of +107 (−4.2% value).

Trends in play

Recent results against the spread back the UCF Knights. The South Alabama Jaguars failed to cover the spread in 4 straight games.

Recent totals lean over. The South Alabama Jaguars went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.