Toledo Rockets vs Marshall Thundering Herd Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET · Cam Henderson Center · NCAAB

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Toledo Rockets at Marshall Thundering Herd is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Cam Henderson Center.

The story

The Toledo Rockets have lost three straight, a run that goes back to last season, and both of their games this season. The Marshall Thundering Herd come in with more rest: their last game was on November 2, five days before this one, while the Toledo Rockets played two days before.

Moneyline

AiQ gives Marshall Thundering Herd a 59% confidence rating to beat Toledo Rockets, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 55.6% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 55.5%. The price on record, -135, is priced below the fair price of -125 (−3.1% value).

Total

AiQ gives the under 158.5 points a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.0% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.6%. The best price, -110 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -104 (−2.6% value).

Spread

AiQ gives Toledo Rockets +2.5 a 57% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 49.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.6%. The best price, -106 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of +101 (−3.4% value).

Trends in play

The total pulls both ways. The Marshall Thundering Herd went over the total in 8 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Toledo Rockets went under the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

Against the spread, the records lean toward the Toledo Rockets. The Marshall Thundering Herd failed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 games. The Toledo Rockets covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.