Chattanooga Mocs vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 5

Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM ET · Bryce Jordan Center · NCAAB

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Chattanooga Mocs at Penn State Nittany Lions is on Thursday, November 5, 2026, at Bryce Jordan Center.

Moneyline

AiQ gives Penn State Nittany Lions a 94% confidence rating to beat Chattanooga Mocs, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 93.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 93.2%. The best price, -1200 at BetMGM, is +1.0% value against the fair price of -1375.

Total

AiQ gives the under 159.5 points a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 52.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 51.2%. The price on record, -115, is priced below the fair price of -110 (−2.2% value).

Spread

AiQ gives Chattanooga Mocs +13.5 a 57% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 46.9% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 48.1%. The price on record, -102, is priced below the fair price of +113 (−7.1% value).

Recent totals lean over. The Chattanooga Mocs went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.

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