Napoli defeat Bodo/Glimt 4-3: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Tue, Oct 20, 2026 · Champions League · Bodo/Glimt 3, Napoli 4

Napoli defeated Bodo/Glimt 4-3 on Tuesday, October 20 at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. The total went over 3.5 goals. AiQ backed the draw at +313 and the under 3.5, losing both picks.

Bodo/Glimt vs. Napoli final score and match recap

Napoli led 2-1 at halftime. Scott McTominay scored twice and Matteo Politano added a goal and assist for Napoli. Sondre Brunstad Fet finished with one goal and two assists for Bodo/Glimt, while Jens Petter Hauge also scored. The match finished 4-3 to Napoli.

Did Bodo/Glimt vs. Napoli go over or under the goals total?

The total went over 3.5, finishing at 7 goals. AiQ had taken the under 3.5 with 54% confidence, resulting in a loss.

How did AiQ's Bodo/Glimt vs. Napoli predictions do?

AiQ finished 0-2 on this match.

AiQ identified a close contest but missed on both the draw and the high-scoring nature of the fixture. The model's confidence in a low-scoring outcome proved misplaced, and the draw selection was out of step with Napoli's eventual victory.

Bodo/Glimt vs. Napoli game prop results: both teams to score and draw no bet

Bodo/Glimt vs. Napoli odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The three-way moneyline closed at Bodo/Glimt +377, Draw +313, Napoli -155. Removing the vig, the implied probabilities were 20% for Bodo/Glimt, 57% for Napoli, and 23% for a draw, with a bookmaker margin of 6.0%. Napoli's -155 price paid $64.52 on a $100 wager. AiQ's moneyline expected value was calculated at +3.8% at +310 (best price at Fanatics), indicating a positive-EV opportunity despite the eventual loss. The market's 23% draw probability versus AiQ's 25% estimate shows minimal divergence.

Bodo/Glimt sit 1-0-2 (W-D-L) after three games, unbeaten at home (1-0-0) but winless away (0-0-2). Their only recorded total line was an over, giving them a 1-0 record in that market. Recent form reads L, W, L.

Napoli also sit 1-0-2 (W-D-L) after three games, with a home record of 1-0-1 and a single away appearance (0-0-1). Their sole total line was an under, resulting in a 0-1 record. Recent form reads W, L, L.

What's next for Bodo/Glimt and Napoli?

Bodo/Glimt will host Lille on Tuesday, November 3. Napoli travels to face FC Porto on Wednesday, November 4.