Real Madrid defeat AEK Athens 3-2: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Nov 4, 2026 · Champions League · Real Madrid 3, AEK Athens 2
Real Madrid beat AEK Athens 3-2 on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at OPAP Arena. The match went over the pregame total of 3.5, with 5 goals combined. AiQ went 1-1 on its moneyline and total picks in this match.
Real Madrid vs. AEK Athens final score and match recap
It was 1-1 at halftime. Real Madrid outscored AEK Athens 2-1 in the second half.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid): 1 goal.
- Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid): 1 goal.
- Aboubakary Koita (AEK Athens): 1 goal, 1 assist.
- Stavros Pilios (AEK Athens): 1 goal.
Did Real Madrid vs. AEK Athens go over or under the goals total?
The match went over: 5 goals combined against a pregame total of 3.5, over by 1.5. No closing total is on file, so this is the line AiQ priced before the start. 2 of the 5 goals came in the first half.
AiQ's pick was the under 3.5: a loss.
How did AiQ's Real Madrid vs. AEK Athens predictions do?
AiQ went 1-1 on its moneyline and total picks in this match.
- Moneyline: Real Madrid to win at -475, a win (+$21.05 on a $100 bet).
- Total: the under 3.5, a loss.
AiQ was right on the moneyline and wrong on the total.
Real Madrid vs. AEK Athens game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- Draw no bet: Real Madrid cashed.
- Both teams to score: yes, paying -125.
Real Madrid vs. AEK Athens odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before kickoff, the consensus three-way moneyline had Real Madrid at -545, the draw at +646 and AEK Athens at +1103. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made it Real Madrid 80%, the draw 13% and AEK Athens 8%. Real Madrid won as the favorite at -545: $18.35 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, Real Madrid, the best price before the match was -450 at Fanatics: priced below fair (−2.1% value).
Real Madrid and AEK Athens betting trends: 2026-27 season
This result left Real Madrid with 4 wins in the 2026-27 season. Their only match with a closing total went under. That made it four straight wins for Real Madrid.
This result left AEK Athens with 1 win and 3 losses in the 2026-27 season. Their only match with a closing total went under. That made it three straight defeats for AEK Athens.
What's next for Real Madrid and AEK Athens?
Next for Real Madrid: PSV Eindhoven at home on Tuesday, November 24, 2026. Next for AEK Athens: at Como on Tuesday, November 24, 2026.