Arsenal and Bayern Munich draw 2-2: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Oct 21, 2026 · Champions League · Arsenal 2, Bayern Munich 2
Arsenal and Bayern Munich drew 2–2 on Wednesday, October 21 at the Allianz Arena. The match went over 2.5 goals, finishing with four. AiQ went 0–2, missing on both the moneyline pick (Bayern Munich +132) and the total (under 2.5).
Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich final score and match recap
Both teams scored twice, with the match ending level at 2–2. Declan Rice and Eberechi Eze scored for Arsenal, while Harry Kane and Alphonso Davies found the net for Bayern Munich.
Did Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich go over or under the goals total?
The match produced four goals, sending it over the 2.5 line by 1.5. AiQ had taken the under at 58% confidence and lost.
How did AiQ's Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich predictions do?
AiQ finished 0–2 on graded picks:
- Moneyline: Bayern Munich +132 – LOSS (−$100 on a $100 bet)
- Total: Under 2.5 – LOSS
The model favored Bayern Munich to win but failed to account for both the draw outcome and the high-scoring nature of the contest. The Bayern Munich pick was negative expected value at the offered price despite the model's 41% win probability estimate versus the market's 40% after vig removal.
Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score
- Draw no bet: Stakes refunded.
- Both teams to score: Both sides found the net, so the prop paid −210.
Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline was Arsenal +183, Draw +270, and Bayern Munich +132. After vig removal, implied probabilities were 34% for Arsenal, 26% for a draw, and 41% for Bayern Munich, with a bookmaker margin of 5.5%. A $100 bet on the draw at +270 returned $270 profit.
Arsenal and Bayern Munich betting trends: 2026-27 season
Arsenal sits 2–1–0 through three matches, with a 1–0–0 home record and 1–1–0 away/neutral. Recent form reads D, W, W. Bayern Munich stands 1–2–0, with a 1–1–0 home record and 0–1–0 away/neutral. They are on a two-match draw streak after a win, with recent results D, D, W.
What's next for Arsenal and Bayern Munich?
Arsenal travels to Slavia Prague on Wednesday, November 4. Bayern Munich heads to Atlético Madrid on Tuesday, November 3.