Dallas Mavericks defeat Indiana Pacers 125-122: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · NBA · Indiana Pacers 122, Dallas Mavericks 125

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Indiana Pacers 125-122 on Monday, November 9, 2026, at American Airlines Center. The Indiana Pacers covered the spread as 4.5-point underdogs. The game went over the closing total of 227.5, with 247 points combined. AiQ went 2-1 on its moneyline, spread and total picks in this game.

Indiana Pacers vs. Dallas Mavericks final score and game recap

The Indiana Pacers led 31-26 after the first quarter and 66-56 at halftime. The Dallas Mavericks outscored the Indiana Pacers 69-56 in the second half. They came back from a 10-point halftime deficit.

The leading performers, from the box score:

Who covered the spread in Indiana Pacers vs. Dallas Mavericks?

The Indiana Pacers covered the spread as 4.5-point underdogs, losing by 3 points.

The spread opened at Dallas Mavericks -2.5 and closed at Dallas Mavericks -4.5. AiQ's pick was the Dallas Mavericks -4.5: a loss.

Did Indiana Pacers vs. Dallas Mavericks go over or under the total?

The game went over: 247 points combined against a closing total of 227.5, over by 19.5. 122 of the 247 points came in the first half.

The total opened at 221.5 and closed at 227.5. AiQ's pick was the over 226.5, graded at that number rather than the close: a win.

How did AiQ's Indiana Pacers vs. Dallas Mavericks predictions do?

AiQ went 2-1 on its moneyline, spread and total picks in this game.

AiQ was right on the moneyline and the total and wrong on the spread.

Indiana Pacers vs. Dallas Mavericks game prop results: team totals, first quarter and first half

AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.

Indiana Pacers vs. Dallas Mavericks odds: sportsbook value and line movement

Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Indiana Pacers at +155 and the Dallas Mavericks at -191. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Dallas Mavericks a 63% favorite. The Dallas Mavericks won as the favorite at -191: $52.36 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Dallas Mavericks, the best price before the game was -188 at FanDuel: priced below fair (−1.9% value).

The spread moved toward the Dallas Mavericks between the open and the close, and the Indiana Pacers covered. The total moved up from 221.5 to 227.5, and the game went over.

This result left the Indiana Pacers 3-8 in the 2026-27 regular season (0-5 at home, 3-3 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 5 of 11 games with a closing line on file, with 1 push. Their games went over the closing total 4 times and under 7 times. That made it two straight losses for the Indiana Pacers.

This result left the Dallas Mavericks 7-4 in the 2026-27 regular season (5-2 at home, 2-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 7 of 11 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 8 times. That made it three straight wins for the Dallas Mavericks.

What's next for Indiana Pacers and Dallas Mavericks?

Next for the Indiana Pacers: the Washington Wizards at home on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Next for the Dallas Mavericks: at the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday, November 12, 2026.