Golden State Warriors defeat Miami Heat 120-100: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Thu, Nov 5, 2026 · NBA · Miami Heat 100, Golden State Warriors 120
The Golden State Warriors beat the Miami Heat 120-100 on Thursday, November 5, 2026, at Chase Center. The Golden State Warriors covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites. The game went under the closing total of 236.5, with 220 points combined. AiQ went 2-1 on its moneyline, spread and total picks in this game.
Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors final score and game recap
The Miami Heat led 29-26 after the first quarter. It was 53-53 at halftime. The Golden State Warriors outscored the Miami Heat 67-47 in the second half, 38-23 in the third quarter alone.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (Miami Heat): 20 points, 14 rebounds, 4 assists.
- Davion Mitchell (Miami Heat): 22 points, 2 rebounds, 8 assists.
- Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors): 29 points, 1 rebound, 4 assists.
- Yaxel Lendeborg (Golden State Warriors): 17 points, 8 rebounds, 6 assists.
Who covered the spread in Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors?
The Golden State Warriors covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites, winning by 20 points.
The spread opened at Golden State Warriors -4.5 and closed at Golden State Warriors -3.5. AiQ's pick was the Golden State Warriors -3.5: a win.
Did Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors go over or under the total?
The game went under: 220 points combined against a closing total of 236.5, under by 16.5. 106 of the 220 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 238.5 and closed at 236.5. AiQ's pick was the over 235.5, graded at that number rather than the close: a loss.
How did AiQ's Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors predictions do?
AiQ went 2-1 on its moneyline, spread and total picks in this game.
- Moneyline: the Golden State Warriors to win at -167, a win (+$59.88 on a $100 bet).
- Spread: the Golden State Warriors -3.5, a win.
- Total: the over 235.5, a loss.
AiQ was right on the moneyline and the spread and wrong on the total.
Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors game prop results: team totals, first quarter and first half
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- Miami Heat team total 116.5: the under, paying -110, with 100 scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: Miami Heat won the first quarter, paying +105.
- First-half moneyline: the first half was tied, so bets were refunded.
- Golden State Warriors team total 120.5: the under, paying -115, with 120 scored.
- First-half spread: Miami Heat +2.5 covered, paying -115.
- First-half total 121.5: the under, paying -108, with 106 points scored.
- First-quarter total 61.5: the under, paying -108, with 55 points scored.
Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Miami Heat at +140 and the Golden State Warriors at -170. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Golden State Warriors a 60% favorite. The Golden State Warriors won as the favorite at -170: $58.82 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Golden State Warriors, the best price before the game was -160 at Caesars: priced below fair (−1.5% value).
The spread moved toward the Miami Heat between the open and the close, and the Golden State Warriors covered. The total moved down from 238.5 to 236.5, and the game went under.
Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors betting trends: 2026-27 season
This result left the Miami Heat 3-6 in the 2026-27 regular season (1-3 at home, 2-3 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 2 of 9 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 4 times and under 4 times, with 1 push.
This result left the Golden State Warriors 6-3 in the 2026-27 regular season (4-1 at home, 2-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 7 of 9 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 5 times and under 4 times. That made it six straight wins for the Golden State Warriors.
What's next for Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors?
Next for the Miami Heat: at the Sacramento Kings on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Next for the Golden State Warriors: the Orlando Magic at home on Saturday, November 7, 2026.