Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 5
Thu, Nov 5, 10:00 PM ET · Chase Center · NBA
Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.
Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors is on Thursday, November 5, 2026, at Chase Center.
The story
The Golden State Warriors have won 5 of their 8 games this season, winning the last five. The Miami Heat have won 2 of their 7 games this season. When these teams last met, on January 19, 2026, the Golden State Warriors won 135-112 at home.
Matchups to watch
- Mismatch in shooting. The Miami Heat made 47.8% of their shots this season, the 5th highest in the NBA, and the Golden State Warriors allowed opponents to make 48.3% of their shots, tied for the 5th highest.
- Mismatch from three. The Golden State Warriors made 38.9% of their three-point attempts this season, the 4th highest in the NBA, and the Miami Heat allowed opponents to make 41.0% of their three-point attempts, the 2nd highest.
Moneyline
AiQ gives Golden State Warriors a 54% confidence rating to beat Miami Heat, its own model's number rather than a market price. No odds are on record for this game, so there is no price to value.
Total
AiQ gives the over a 0% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.
Spread
AiQ gives Golden State Warriors a 50% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.
Trends in play
Recent results against the spread back the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors covered the spread in 6 straight games.
Recent totals lean over. The Miami Heat went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.