Denver Nuggets defeat Toronto Raptors 128-109: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Nov 4, 2026 · NBA · Toronto Raptors 109, Denver Nuggets 128
The Denver Nuggets beat the Toronto Raptors 128-109 on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at Ball Arena. The Denver Nuggets covered the spread as 5-point favorites. The game went over the closing total of 231, with 237 points combined. AiQ went 0-3 on its moneyline, spread and total picks in this game.
Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets final score and game recap
The Toronto Raptors led 35-33 after the first quarter and 67-64 at halftime. The Denver Nuggets outscored the Toronto Raptors 64-42 in the second half, 41-15 in the third quarter alone. They came back from a 3-point halftime deficit.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): 22 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists.
- Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors): 17 points, 6 rebounds, 6 assists.
- Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets): 32 points, 10 rebounds, 11 assists.
- Bryce Hopkins (Denver Nuggets): 18 points, 4 rebounds, 1 assist.
Who covered the spread in Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets?
The Denver Nuggets covered the spread as 5-point favorites, winning by 19 points.
The spread opened at Denver Nuggets -5.5 and closed at Denver Nuggets -5. AiQ's pick was the Toronto Raptors +4.5, graded at that number rather than the close: a loss.
Did Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets go over or under the total?
The game went over: 237 points combined against a closing total of 231, over by 6. 131 of the 237 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 231.5 and closed at 231. AiQ's pick was the under 231.5, graded at that number rather than the close: a loss.
How did AiQ's Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets predictions do?
AiQ went 0-3 on its moneyline, spread and total picks in this game.
- Moneyline: the Toronto Raptors to win at +169, a loss (-$100 on a $100 bet).
- Spread: the Toronto Raptors +4.5, a loss.
- Total: the under 231.5, a loss.
AiQ was wrong on the moneyline, the spread and the total.
Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets game prop results: first quarter, first half and team totals
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-quarter moneyline: Toronto Raptors won the first quarter, paying +124.
- First-half spread: Toronto Raptors +2.5 covered, paying -112.
- First-half total 112.5: the over, paying -105, with 131 points scored.
- First-half moneyline: Toronto Raptors won the first half, paying +142.
- Denver Nuggets team total 117.5: the over, paying -110, with 128 scored.
- First-quarter total 56.5: the over, paying -112, with 68 points scored.
- Toronto Raptors team total 113.5: the under, paying -115, with 109 scored.
Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Toronto Raptors at +165 and the Denver Nuggets at -203. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Denver Nuggets a 64% favorite. The Denver Nuggets won as the favorite at -203: $49.26 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Toronto Raptors, the best price before the game was +170 at BetMGM: priced below fair (−2.8% value).
The spread moved toward the Toronto Raptors between the open and the close, and the Denver Nuggets covered. The total moved down from 231.5 to 231, and the game went over.
Toronto Raptors and Denver Nuggets betting trends: 2026-27 season
This result left the Toronto Raptors 4-4 in the 2026-27 regular season (2-1 at home, 2-3 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 4 of 8 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 5 times and under 3 times.
This result left the Denver Nuggets 4-3 in the 2026-27 regular season (2-2 at home, 2-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 3 of 7 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 4 times and under 3 times.
What's next for Toronto Raptors and Denver Nuggets?
Next for the Toronto Raptors: at the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday, November 6, 2026. Next for the Denver Nuggets: at the Indiana Pacers on Saturday, November 7, 2026.