Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 4

Wed, Nov 4, 7:00 PM ET · Little Caesars Arena · NBA

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Philadelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons is on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at Little Caesars Arena.

The story

The Philadelphia 76ers have won 7 of their 8 games this season, winning the last four. The Detroit Pistons have won 6 of their 7 games this season, winning the last three. When these teams last met, on October 25, 2026, the Detroit Pistons won 106-93 on the road. This is their second meeting this season.

Moneyline

AiQ gives Detroit Pistons a 62% confidence rating to beat Philadelphia 76ers, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 53.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 53.6%. The best price, -124 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -116 (−2.9% value).

Total

AiQ gives the over 219.5 points a 62% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The price on record, -110, is priced below the fair price of -103 (−2.9% value).

Spread

AiQ gives Detroit Pistons -1.5 a 60% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 49.5% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 51.0%. The best price, -112 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of +102 (−6.3% value).

Trends in play

Against the spread, the records lean toward the Detroit Pistons. The Detroit Pistons covered the spread in 5 of 5 games as favorites this season. The Detroit Pistons covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings with the Philadelphia 76ers.

Everything points under on the total. Of the last 5 meetings between the Detroit Pistons and the Philadelphia 76ers, 4 went under the total. The Philadelphia 76ers went under the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.