Dallas Mavericks defeat Oklahoma City Thunder 120-96: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · NBA · Oklahoma City Thunder 96, Dallas Mavericks 120
The Dallas Mavericks beat the Oklahoma City Thunder 120-96 on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, at American Airlines Center. The Dallas Mavericks covered the spread as 5.5-point underdogs. The game went under the closing total of 228, with 216 points combined. AiQ went 1-2 on its moneyline, spread and total picks in this game.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks final score and game recap
The Dallas Mavericks led 33-30 after the first quarter and 65-59 at halftime. They outscored the Oklahoma City Thunder 55-37 in the second half. They led at the end of every quarter.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Ajay Mitchell (Oklahoma City Thunder): 29 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder): 21 points, 6 rebounds, 2 assists.
- Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks): 26 points, 5 rebounds, 8 assists.
- P.J. Washington (Dallas Mavericks): 18 points, 9 rebounds.
Who covered the spread in Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks?
The Dallas Mavericks covered the spread as 5.5-point underdogs and won outright, by 24 points.
The spread opened at Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5 and closed at Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5. AiQ's pick was the Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5, graded at that number rather than the close: a loss.
Did Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks go over or under the total?
The game went under: 216 points combined against a closing total of 228, under by 12. 124 of the 216 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 230.5 and closed at 228. AiQ's pick was the under 228.5, graded at that number rather than the close: a win.
How did AiQ's Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks predictions do?
AiQ went 1-2 on its moneyline, spread and total picks in this game.
- Moneyline: the Oklahoma City Thunder to win at -192, a loss (-$100 on a $100 bet).
- Spread: the Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5, a loss.
- Total: the under 228.5, a win.
AiQ was right on the total and wrong on the moneyline and the spread.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks game prop results: team totals, first quarter and first half
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- Oklahoma City Thunder team total 116.5: the under, paying -112, with 96 scored.
- Dallas Mavericks team total 111.5: the over, paying -110, with 120 scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: Dallas Mavericks won the first quarter, paying +124.
- First-quarter total 58.5: the over, paying -118, with 63 points scored.
- First-half spread: Dallas Mavericks +2.5 covered, paying -105.
- First-half total 115.5: the over, paying -110, with 124 points scored.
- First-half moneyline: Dallas Mavericks won the first half, paying +145.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Oklahoma City Thunder at -190 and the Dallas Mavericks at +155. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Oklahoma City Thunder a 63% favorite. The Dallas Mavericks won as the underdog at +155: $155 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Oklahoma City Thunder, the best price before the game was -167 at BetRivers: +1.9% value.
The spread moved toward the Dallas Mavericks between the open and the close, and they covered. The total moved down from 230.5 to 228, and the game went under.
Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks betting trends: 2026-27 season
This result left the Oklahoma City Thunder 4-1 in the 2026-27 regular season (3-0 at home, 1-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 3 of 5 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 1 time and under 4 times.
This result left the Dallas Mavericks 3-2 in the 2026-27 regular season (1-1 at home, 2-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 3 of 5 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 1 time and under 4 times. That made it two straight wins for the Dallas Mavericks.
What's next for Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks?
Next for the Oklahoma City Thunder: at the Houston Rockets on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Next for the Dallas Mavericks: the Houston Rockets at home on Friday, October 30, 2026.