Houston Rockets defeat Dallas Mavericks 128-110: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Oct 21, 2026 · NBA · Dallas Mavericks 110, Houston Rockets 128
Houston Rockets defeated Dallas Mavericks 128–110 on Wednesday, October 21, at Toyota Center, covering the -9.5 spread and the total went over 230 to 238 points.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets final score and game recap
The Rockets built an insurmountable lead by halftime and coasted to victory. Houston opened with a 32–26 first-quarter edge, then dominated the second quarter 38–12 to reach 70–38 at the break. Dallas mounted a third-quarter rally, outscoring Houston 38–30 to cut the deficit to 100–76, but the Rockets' 28-point fourth quarter sealed the outcome.
Kevin Durant led Houston with 30 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists. Jabari Smith Jr. added 30 points and 5 rebounds. For Dallas, Cooper Flagg scored 32 points with 5 rebounds, and Naji Marshall contributed 16 points and 6 assists.
Who covered the spread in Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets?
Houston Rockets covered the -9.5 spread, winning by 18 points. The line opened at -8.5 and drifted to -9.5 as money shifted toward the Rockets. AiQ's spread pick at Houston Rockets -9.5 (59% confidence) graded as a win.
Did Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets go over or under the total?
The game went over 230, finishing at 238 points. AiQ's total pick was Under 230.5 (57% confidence), which resulted in a loss.
How did AiQ's Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets predictions do?
AiQ posted a 2–1 record across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Houston Rockets -423 – WIN (+$23.64 on a $100 bet)
- Spread: Houston Rockets -9.5 – WIN
- Total: Under 230.5 – LOSS
AiQ correctly identified the Rockets as the winner and the spread outcome, but missed the high-scoring nature of the contest.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets game prop results: first half, first quarter and team totals
- First-half moneyline: Houston Rockets won the first half (paid -285)
- First-quarter moneyline: Houston Rockets won the first quarter (paid -205)
- First-half total 118.5: Under (paid -110); 108 points were scored
- First-quarter total 59.5: Under (paid -110); 58 points were scored
- Dallas Mavericks team total 109.5: Over (paid -115); they scored 110
- Houston Rockets team total 120.5: Over (paid -108); they scored 128
- First-half spread: Houston Rockets -5.5 covered (paid -115)
Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline listed Dallas at +328 and Houston at -423, implying a 22% win probability for Dallas and 78% for Houston after removing the 4.2% vig. AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation placed the Rockets at -2.6% at -400, indicating the price was slightly negative despite the side being favored. The Rockets won and paid $23.64 on a $100 wager at -423.
Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets betting trends: 2026-27 season
The Dallas Mavericks are 0–1 overall, 0–1 away, 0–1 against the spread and 1–0 over/under. The Houston Rockets sit 1–0 overall, 1–0 at home, 1–0 against the spread and 1–0 over/under.
What's next for Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets?
The Mavericks travel to Indiana to face the Pacers on Friday, October 23. The Rockets head to San Antonio to take on the Spurs, also on Friday, October 23.