Oklahoma City Thunder defeat San Antonio Spurs 116-104: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Tue, Oct 20, 2026 · NBA · Oklahoma City Thunder 116, San Antonio Spurs 104
Oklahoma City Thunder defeated San Antonio Spurs 116–104, covering the +1.5 spread, with the game finishing under the 232 total.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs final score and game recap
The Thunder built an early lead and never relinquished it. Oklahoma City scored 34 points in the first quarter while holding San Antonio to 28, then extended the advantage to 65–44 at halftime with a 31-point second quarter. The Spurs mounted a third-quarter rally, outscoring Oklahoma City 36–28 to narrow the gap to 93–80, but the Thunder's fourth-quarter defense held San Antonio to 24 points while Oklahoma City added 23 to seal the win.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led Oklahoma City with 32 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists. Jared McCain added 20 points. For San Antonio, Stephon Castle scored 24 points and Dylan Harper contributed 18 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists, but the early deficit proved insurmountable.
Who covered the spread in Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs?
Oklahoma City Thunder covered as +1.5 underdogs, winning by 12 points. San Antonio entered as 1.5-point favorites. The spread opened at Spurs -2.5 and closed at Spurs -1.5, with money moving one point toward Oklahoma City. AiQ's pick on San Antonio at +1.5 with 59% confidence resulted in a loss.
Did Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs go over or under the total?
The game finished at 220 points, 12 under the 232 line. Oklahoma City's scoring was front-loaded (34–31–28–23), while San Antonio's was more balanced (28–16–36–24). The total opened at 231.5 and closed at 232. AiQ's pick of Under 229.5 at 62% confidence won.
How did AiQ's Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs predictions do?
AiQ posted a 2–1 record across graded picks.
- Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder +33 – WIN (+$33 on a $100 bet)
- Spread: San Antonio Spurs +1.5 – LOSS
- Total: Under 229.5 – WIN
The model correctly identified the underdog's outright win and the low-scoring nature of the contest but missed the spread despite money moving in the Thunder's direction.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs game prop results: first half, first quarter and team totals
- First-quarter moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder won (paid +102)
- First-half moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder won (paid -105)
- First-half spread: Oklahoma City Thunder +0.5 covered (paid -115)
- First-quarter total 56.5: Over (paid -108); 62 points scored
- First-half total 112.5: Under (paid -112); 109 points scored
- Oklahoma City Thunder team total 114.5: Over (paid -115); scored 116
- San Antonio Spurs team total 114.5: Under (paid -108); scored 104
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Oklahoma City Thunder +33 and San Antonio Spurs -119, implying a 58% win probability for the Thunder after vig removal. The bookmaker's vig sat at 29.5%. AiQ's pre-game expected value for the Thunder was -1.6% at -118, a negative-expected-value price where the market was priced against the model. The Thunder won outright, validating the implied probability but not the price. Late money moved the spread one point toward Oklahoma City, and that side ultimately covered.
Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs betting trends: 2026-27 season
Oklahoma City is 1–0 overall and 1–0 away, with a 1–0 record against the spread and 0–1 on the over-under. San Antonio is 0–1 overall and 0–1 at home, with a 0–1 record against the spread and 0–1 on the over-under. Both teams have played only one game, limiting any trend inference.
What's next for Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs?
Oklahoma City hosts Denver on Thursday, October 22. San Antonio hosts Houston on Friday, October 23.