Milwaukee Brewers defeat Los Angeles Dodgers 7-4: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Mon, Oct 12, 2026 · MLB · Los Angeles Dodgers 4, Milwaukee Brewers 7
Milwaukee Brewers defeated Los Angeles Dodgers 7-4 on Monday at American Family Field, covering the +1.5 spread and the game went over the 6.5 total.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers final score and game recap
The teams traded early runs before settling into a 4-4 tie through five innings. Milwaukee broke through in the sixth, then added two more in the eighth to pull away. Yoshinobu Yamamoto lasted 2.2 innings for Los Angeles, allowing three earned runs. Logan Henderson pitched four innings for Milwaukee, surrendering two earned runs. William Contreras went 3-for-4 with a home run and three RBIs for the Brewers. Tommy Edman contributed two runs for the Dodgers.
Who covered the spread in Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers?
Milwaukee Brewers covered as +1.5 underdogs, winning outright by three runs. The spread did not move from open to close.
Did Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers go over or under the total?
The game finished at 11 runs, going over the 6.5 total by 4.5. The total opened at 7.5 and moved down to 6.5.
How did AiQ's Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers predictions do?
AiQ posted a 62-45 record across all graded picks for this game.
- Moneyline: Los Angeles Dodgers at -132 — LOSS
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 — WIN
- Total: Over 6.5 — WIN
- Player props: 62-44 overall
AiQ correctly identified the spread and total but missed the moneyline, where the model's 56% confidence in the Dodgers did not align with the -134 market price, which offered negative expected value.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers player prop results
AiQ's player prop record stood at 62-44.
- Mookie Betts under 1.5 home runs — actual 0 — WIN
- Brice Turang over 0.5 total bases at -160 — actual 3 — WIN
- Will Smith under 1.5 home runs — actual 0 — WIN
- Garrett Mitchell over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIs at -168 — actual 0 — LOSS
- William Contreras over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at +114 — actual 7 — WIN
- Christian Yelich over 0.5 hits at -154 — actual 2 — WIN
- Sal Frelick over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIs at -161 — actual 0 — LOSS
- Teoscar Hernandez over 0.5 total bases at -155 — actual 0 — LOSS
- William Contreras over 1.5 total bases at +135 — actual 6 — WIN
- Jake Bauers under 1.5 home runs — actual 0 — WIN
- Will Smith under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at -166 — actual 0 — WIN
- Jackson Chourio over 0.5 RBIs at +235 — actual 0 — LOSS
Most picks hit, with William Contreras significantly exceeding his lines and several Brewers hitters underperforming.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers game prop results: first five innings and team totals
- First-five-innings total 3.5: Over (paid -114); 8 runs scored
- First-five-innings moneyline: tied, bets refunded
- Los Angeles Dodgers team total 3.5: Over (paid -115); 4 runs scored
- Milwaukee Brewers team total 2.5: Over (paid -140); 7 runs scored
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The Dodgers opened as -132 favorites, implying a 55% win probability after vig removal, while the Brewers were +116 at 45%. The bookmaker's margin sat at 3.2%. Milwaukee's victory paid +116. AiQ's moneyline expectation was calibrated at 56% probability, but the market price it evaluated (-134) translated to negative expected value, indicating the line was unfavorable for the model's preferred side. The spread did not move from open to close, while the total moved down 1 point from 7.5 to 6.5.
Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers betting trends: 2026 season
The Los Angeles Dodgers sit at 103-63 overall, 52-29 at home and 51-34 on the road. In games with a recorded closing spread (n=164), they are 72-92 against the spread. In games with a recorded total (n=164), they are 73 overs and 86 unders. Their last five results are loss, loss, win, win, loss, leaving them on a two-game losing streak.
The Milwaukee Brewers are 105-59 overall, 57-25 at home and 48-34 away. With a recorded closing spread in 162 games, they are 84-78 against the spread. In 162 games with a total, they are 72 overs and 85 unders. Their last five outcomes are win, win, win, loss, win, giving them a three-game winning streak.
What's next for Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers?
The Brewers will host the Rays or Guardians on Friday, October 23.