Milwaukee Brewers defeat Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · MLB · Los Angeles Dodgers 1, Milwaukee Brewers 2
Milwaukee Brewers defeated Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 on Sunday, October 11, at American Family Field. The Brewers covered the +1.5 spread and the game finished under the 6-run total.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers final score and game recap
Shohei Ohtani's solo run in the second inning gave Los Angeles an early lead that would not hold. Neither team scored again.
Tarik Skubal started for Los Angeles and pitched five innings, allowing two earned runs with seven strikeouts. Jacob Misiorowski took the mound for Milwaukee and worked 4.1 innings, surrendering one earned run and striking out five. The low-scoring result reflected dominant pitching from both sides.
Who covered the spread in Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers?
Milwaukee Brewers covered as the +1.5 underdog, winning outright by one run against the AiQ pick line of Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5.
Did Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers go over or under the total?
The game finished with three combined runs, well under the 6-run total. Los Angeles scored one in the second; Milwaukee added one in the fourth and one in the fifth.
How did AiQ's Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers predictions do?
AiQ posted a 70-35 record across all graded picks on this game.
- Moneyline: Los Angeles Dodgers – LOSS
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 – WIN
- Total: Under 6 – WIN
- Player props: 70-34 – mixed results
AiQ correctly identified the spread and total but missed the moneyline, showing strength in line and total forecasting while failing on the outright winner.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers player prop results
AiQ's player prop slate finished 70-34. Notable results:
- Freddie Freeman over 0.5 total bases at -150 – 1 total base – WIN
- Garrett Mitchell over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIs at -155 – 1 – WIN
- Jackson Chourio under 1.5 home runs – 0 – WIN
- Cooper Pratt over 0.5 total bases at -120 – 0 – LOSS
- Jackson Chourio under 1.5 total bases at -196 – 2 – LOSS
- Cooper Pratt over 0.5 hits at -114 – 0 – LOSS
- William Contreras over 1.5 total bases at +195 – 0 – LOSS
- Will Smith under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at -170 – 0 – WIN
- William Contreras over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at +124 – 0 – LOSS
- Brice Turang under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at -191 – 3 – LOSS
- Mookie Betts under 1.5 total bases at -197 – 1 – WIN
- Andy Pages over 0.5 total bases at -130 – 1 – WIN
Low-threshold over/under lines produced most wins, while several under bets on home runs and total bases backfired.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers game prop results: team totals and first five innings
- Milwaukee Brewers team total 2.5: Under (paid -105); they scored 2
- First-five-innings total 2.5: Over (paid -154); 3 runs were recorded
- First-five-innings moneyline: Milwaukee Brewers won the first five innings (paid -135)
- Los Angeles Dodgers team total 2.5: Under (paid +114); they scored 1
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers odds: sportsbook value and line movement
AiQ's calibrated estimate sat at 51%, showing alignment with the market. However, the price carried negative expected value of -4.1% for AiQ's moneyline pick—the model liked the Dodgers but the odds did not justify the risk.
Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers betting trends: 2026 season
Los Angeles Dodgers stand at 103-62 through 165 games, with a 52-29 home record and 51-33 away/neutral mark. Against the spread in games with a recorded closing line (163 games), they went 72-91. Their total record shows 72 overs and 86 unders. Their last five results: loss, win, win, loss, win.
Milwaukee Brewers sit at 104-59 through 163 games, posting a 56-25 home record and 48-34 away/neutral tally. In 161 games with a closing spread, they went 83-78 against the spread. Their total record shows 71 overs and 85 unders. Their last five results: win, win, loss, win, win, giving them a two-game winning streak.
What's next for Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers?
Milwaukee hosts the Rays or Guardians on Friday, October 23.