Tampa Bay Rays defeat Cleveland Guardians 3-1: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Tue, Oct 13, 2026 · MLB · Cleveland Guardians 1, Tampa Bay Rays 3
Tampa Bay Rays defeated Cleveland Guardians 3-1 on Tuesday, October 13, at Tropicana Field, covering the -1.5 spread and finishing under 6.5. AiQ went 73-32 across all graded picks on the game.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays final score and game recap
The Rays broke through in the fourth inning, scoring three runs after a scoreless first three frames. Cleveland answered with a single run in the seventh but could not close the gap. Freddy Peralta pitched six shutout innings with six strikeouts for Tampa Bay, while Parker Messick allowed no earned runs over five innings for the Guardians. Steven Kwan went 2-for-5 for Cleveland; Liam Hicks contributed 2-for-3 with two RBIs for Tampa Bay.
Who covered the spread in Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays?
Tampa Bay Rays covered -1.5 as the favorite, winning by exactly two runs. The spread held steady at Tampa Bay -1.5 from open to close.
Did Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays go over or under the total?
The game finished under 6.5. Combined score was 4 runs, 2.5 under the line. The total opened at 7 and moved down 0.5 to close at 6.5.
How did AiQ's Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays predictions do?
AiQ posted a 73-32 record across every graded pick on this game.
- Moneyline: Picked Tampa Bay Rays at -130 – WIN (+$76.92 on a $100 bet)
- Player props: 72-32 overall
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays player prop results
AiQ's player-prop slate finished 72-32. Among the 12 listed picks, Chase DeLauter delivered three wins (over 0.5 hits, over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs, over 0.5 total bases), while Jose Ramirez and Nathaniel Lowe combined for six losses. Junior Caminero won one prop (under 1.5 home runs) and lost another (over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs).
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays) under 1.5 home runs – actual 0 – WIN
- Jose Ramirez (Cleveland Guardians) over 0.5 runs – actual 0 – LOSS
- Jose Ramirez (Cleveland Guardians) over 0.5 RBIs – actual 0 – LOSS
- Nathaniel Lowe (Cleveland Guardians) over 0.5 total bases – actual 0 – LOSS
- Jose Ramirez (Cleveland Guardians) over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs – actual 1 – LOSS
- Nathaniel Lowe (Cleveland Guardians) over 0.5 hits – actual 0 – LOSS
- Chase DeLauter (Cleveland Guardians) over 0.5 hits – actual 1 – WIN
- Jose Ramirez (Cleveland Guardians) over 0.5 total bases – actual 1 – WIN
- Nathaniel Lowe (Cleveland Guardians) over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIs – actual 0 – LOSS
- Chase DeLauter (Cleveland Guardians) over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs – actual 2 – WIN
- Chase DeLauter (Cleveland Guardians) over 0.5 total bases – actual 2 – WIN
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays) over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs – actual 1 – LOSS
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays game prop results: team totals and first five innings
- Tampa Bay Rays team total 3.5: Under (paid -125); they scored 3
- First-five-innings moneyline: Tampa Bay Rays won the first five innings (paid -125)
- Cleveland Guardians team total 2.5: Under (paid +114); they scored 1
- First-five-innings total 3.5: Under (paid -102); 3 runs were scored
Tampa Bay's early three-run outburst in the fourth inning determined the game's trajectory, keeping both team totals and first-half scoring under their thresholds.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Cleveland Guardians +114 / Tampa Bay Rays -130, implying a 55% win probability for Tampa Bay after removing the 3.3% vig. AiQ's pre-game expected-value estimate was -2.5% at -132, indicating the model liked the side but found the market price marginally unfavorable.
Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays betting trends: 2026 season
Cleveland Guardians sit at 86-79 overall in 165 games (42-41 at home, 44-38 on the road). They are 80-84 against the spread in 164 games with a recorded closing spread and 82-81 over/under in 164 games with a recorded total. Their last five results: loss, win, win, win, win.
Tampa Bay Rays are 101-64 overall in 165 games (58-27 at home, 43-37 away/neutral). They are 88-77 against the spread in 165 games with a recorded closing spread and 76-83-6 over/under in the same sample. Their last five results: win, loss, win, win, win.
What's next for Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays?
The Cleveland Guardians travel to Tampa Bay on Tuesday, October 20. The Tampa Bay Rays host the Guardians in that same matchup on Tuesday, October 20.