Milwaukee Brewers defeat San Diego Padres 3-1: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Oct 7, 2026 · MLB · Milwaukee Brewers 3, San Diego Padres 1
The Milwaukee Brewers beat the San Diego Padres 3-1 on Wednesday, October 7, 2026, at Petco Park. The Milwaukee Brewers covered the run line as 1.5-run favorites. The game went under the pregame total of 7.5, with 4 runs combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost, and its player props went 69-33.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres final score and game recap
The Milwaukee Brewers led 2-1 after five innings. They outscored the San Diego Padres 1-0 the rest of the way.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Robert Gasser (Milwaukee Brewers): 4.0 innings, 1 earned run, 3 strikeouts.
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): 2-for-4, 1 RBI, 1 run.
- Walker Buehler (San Diego Padres): 3.0 innings, 1 earned run, 0 strikeouts.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (San Diego Padres): 1-for-3, 1 home run, 1 RBI, 1 run.
Who covered the spread in Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres?
The Milwaukee Brewers covered the run line as 1.5-run favorites, winning by 2 runs. No closing run line is on file, so this uses the line AiQ recorded before the game, Milwaukee Brewers -1.5.
Did Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres go over or under the total?
The game went under: 4 runs combined against a pregame total of 7.5, under by 3.5. No closing total is on file, so this is the line AiQ priced before the start.
How did AiQ's Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost, and its player props went 69-33.
- Moneyline: the San Diego Padres to win at -112, a loss (-$100 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 69-33.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres player prop results
AiQ's player prop picks went 69-33 in this game.
- William Contreras (Milwaukee Brewers): over 1.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at -107, finished with 2, a win.
- Jake Cronenworth (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 total bases at -105, finished with 0, a loss.
- Luis Campusano (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 total bases at -145, finished with 0, a loss.
- Xander Bogaerts (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 total bases at -160, finished with 0, a loss.
- Jackson Merrill (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 hits at -178, finished with 1, a win.
- William Contreras (Milwaukee Brewers): over 0.5 hits at -219, finished with 2, a win.
- Jackson Chourio (Milwaukee Brewers): over 1.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at -138, finished with 2, a win.
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): over 0.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at -164, finished with 4, a win.
- Ty France (San Diego Padres): over 1.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at +112, finished with 0, a loss.
- Jake Cronenworth (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at -141, finished with 0, a loss.
- Xander Bogaerts (San Diego Padres): over 1.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at +116, finished with 0, a loss.
- William Contreras (Milwaukee Brewers): over 1.5 total bases at +138, finished with 2, a win.
- 90 more picks are in the record above but not listed.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres game prop results: team totals and first five innings
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- San Diego Padres team total 3.5: the under, paying -110, with 1 scored.
- First-five-innings moneyline: Milwaukee Brewers won the first five innings, paying -130.
- Milwaukee Brewers team total 3.5: the under, paying -110, with 3 scored.
- First-five-innings total 4.5: the under, paying -130, with 3 runs scored.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Milwaukee Brewers at -109 and the San Diego Padres at -110. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the San Diego Padres a 50% favorite. The Milwaukee Brewers won as the underdog at -109: $91.74 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the San Diego Padres, the price before the game was -112: priced below fair (−4.6% value).
Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Milwaukee Brewers 3-1 in the 2026 postseason (2-0 at home, 1-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the run line, they covered in 1 of 3 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 0 times and under 2 times, with 1 push.
This result left the San Diego Padres 3-3 in the 2026 postseason (3-1 at home, 0-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the run line, they covered in 4 of 5 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 1 time and under 3 times, with 1 push.
What's next for Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres?
Next for the Milwaukee Brewers: the Los Angeles Dodgers at home on Sunday, October 11, 2026.