San Diego Padres defeat Milwaukee Brewers 4-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Tue, Oct 6, 2026 · MLB · Milwaukee Brewers 3, San Diego Padres 4
The San Diego Padres beat the Milwaukee Brewers 4-3 on Tuesday, October 6, 2026, at Petco Park. The Milwaukee Brewers covered the run line as 1.5-run underdogs. The game went under the closing total of 7.5, with 7 runs combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 63-43.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres final score and game recap
The San Diego Padres led 3-2 after five innings. The rest of the way was even at 1-1.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Dustin May (Milwaukee Brewers): 3.0 innings, 2 earned runs, 3 strikeouts.
- William Contreras (Milwaukee Brewers): 3-for-4, 1 home run, 1 RBI, 2 runs.
- Nick Pivetta (San Diego Padres): 4.1 innings, 2 earned runs, 4 strikeouts.
- Jake Cronenworth (San Diego Padres): 2-for-2, 1 home run, 1 RBI, 1 run.
Who covered the spread in Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres?
The Milwaukee Brewers covered the run line as 1.5-run underdogs, losing by 1 run.
The run line opened and closed at San Diego Padres -1.5.
Did Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres go over or under the total?
The game went under: 7 runs combined against a closing total of 7.5, under by 0.5.
The total opened at 7 and closed at 7.5.
How did AiQ's Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 63-43.
- Moneyline: the San Diego Padres to win at -143, a win (+$69.93 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 63-43.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres player prop results
AiQ's player prop picks went 63-43 in this game.
- Jackson Chourio (Milwaukee Brewers): over 0.5 runs batted in at +181, finished with 1, a win.
- Dustin Harris (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at -145, finished with 0, a loss.
- Jackson Chourio (Milwaukee Brewers): over 1.5 total bases at +112, finished with 0, a loss.
- Xander Bogaerts (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 hits at -197, finished with 1, a win.
- Brice Turang (Milwaukee Brewers): over 0.5 runs batted in at +243, finished with 0, a loss.
- Jackson Chourio (Milwaukee Brewers): over 1.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at -124, finished with 1, a loss.
- Xander Bogaerts (San Diego Padres): over 1.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at +105, finished with 2, a win.
- Ty France (San Diego Padres): over 1.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at -112, finished with 0, a loss.
- Cooper Pratt (Milwaukee Brewers): under 1.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at -170, finished with 3, a loss.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (San Diego Padres): under 1.5 hits at -213, finished with 0, a win.
- Jackson Merrill (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 hits at -242, finished with 1, a win.
- Dustin Harris (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 total bases at -135, finished with 0, a loss.
- 94 more picks are in the record above but not listed.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres game prop results: first five innings and team totals
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-five-innings moneyline: San Diego Padres won the first five innings, paying -145.
- First-five-innings total 4.5: the over, paying +108, with 5 runs scored.
- Milwaukee Brewers team total 3.5: the under, paying -120, with 3 scored.
- San Diego Padres team total 3.5: the over, paying -135, with 4 scored.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Milwaukee Brewers at +119 and the San Diego Padres at -144. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the San Diego Padres a 56% favorite. The San Diego Padres won as the favorite at -144: $69.44 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the San Diego Padres, the best price before the game was -135 at BetMGM: priced below fair (−2.8% value).
The total moved up from 7 to 7.5, and the game went under.
Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in the 2026 postseason (2-0 at home, 0-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the run line, they covered in 1 of 3 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 0 times and under 2 times, with 1 push.
This result left the San Diego Padres 3-2 in the 2026 postseason (3-0 at home, 0-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the run line, they covered in 4 of 5 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 1 time and under 3 times, with 1 push.
What's next for Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres?
Next for the Milwaukee Brewers: at the San Diego Padres on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Next for the San Diego Padres: the Milwaukee Brewers at home on Wednesday, October 7, 2026.