Milwaukee Brewers defeat San Diego Padres 3-2: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · MLB · San Diego Padres 2, Milwaukee Brewers 3
The Milwaukee Brewers beat the San Diego Padres 3-2 on Saturday, October 3, 2026, at American Family Field. The San Diego Padres covered the run line as 1.5-run underdogs. The game went under the closing total of 7, with 5 runs combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 75-29.
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers final score and game recap
The Milwaukee Brewers trailed by 2 runs after two innings. It was 2-2 after five innings. The Milwaukee Brewers outscored the San Diego Padres 1-0 the rest of the way.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Robbie Ray (San Diego Padres): 2.2 innings, 2 earned runs, 1 strikeout.
- Dustin Harris (San Diego Padres): 2-for-4.
- Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee Brewers): 4.0 innings, 2 earned runs, 6 strikeouts.
- Jackson Chourio (Milwaukee Brewers): 1-for-4, 1 home run, 2 RBIs, 1 run.
Who covered the spread in San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers?
The San Diego Padres covered the run line as 1.5-run underdogs, losing by 1 run.
The run line opened and closed at Milwaukee Brewers -1.5.
Did San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers go over or under the total?
The game went under: 5 runs combined against a closing total of 7, under by 2.
The total opened and closed at 7.
How did AiQ's San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 75-29.
- Moneyline: the Milwaukee Brewers to win at -209, a win (+$47.85 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 75-29.
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers player prop results
AiQ's player prop picks went 75-29 in this game.
- Brice Turang (Milwaukee Brewers): over 1.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at -107, finished with 0, a loss.
- Dustin Harris (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at -141, finished with 2, a win.
- Manny Machado (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 total bases at -140, finished with 3, a win.
- William Contreras (Milwaukee Brewers): over 0.5 runs batted in at +167, finished with 1, a win.
- Manny Machado (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 hits at -149, finished with 2, a win.
- Jackson Merrill (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 hits at -136, finished with 0, a loss.
- Jake Cronenworth (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at -117, finished with 1, a win.
- Brice Turang (Milwaukee Brewers): over 0.5 runs batted in at +224, finished with 0, a loss.
- Brice Turang (Milwaukee Brewers): over 0.5 total bases at -165, finished with 0, a loss.
- Xander Bogaerts (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 hits at -124, finished with 1, a win.
- William Contreras (Milwaukee Brewers): under 1.5 total bases at -188, finished with 4, a loss.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (San Diego Padres): over 0.5 total bases at -190, finished with 1, a win.
- 92 more picks are in the record above but not listed.
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers game prop results: team totals and first five innings
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- Milwaukee Brewers team total 3.5: the under, paying +110, with 3 scored.
- First-five-innings total 3.5: the over, paying -130, with 4 runs scored.
- First-five-innings moneyline: the first five innings were tied, so bets were refunded.
- San Diego Padres team total 2.5: the under, paying -115, with 2 scored.
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the San Diego Padres at +175 and the Milwaukee Brewers at -210. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Milwaukee Brewers a 65% favorite. The Milwaukee Brewers won as the favorite at -210: $47.62 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Milwaukee Brewers, the best price before the game was -200 at FanDuel: priced below fair (−1.0% value).
San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the San Diego Padres 2-1 in the 2026 postseason (2-0 at home, 0-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the run line, they covered in 3 of 3 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 1 time and under 2 times.
This result left the Milwaukee Brewers 1-0 in the 2026 postseason. Against the run line, they covered in 0 of 1 game with a closing line on file. Their only game with a closing total went under.
What's next for San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers?
Next for the San Diego Padres: at the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Next for the Milwaukee Brewers: the San Diego Padres at home on Sunday, October 4, 2026.