Cleveland Guardians defeat Chicago White Sox 2-0: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · MLB · Chicago White Sox 0, Cleveland Guardians 2
Cleveland Guardians shut out the Chicago White Sox 2–0 at Progressive Field on Saturday, October 10, covering the -1.5 spread while the game finished under the 7-run total.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians final score and game recap
Gavin Williams dominated for Cleveland, allowing no earned runs over 5⅔ innings while striking out 12. The Guardians scored both runs in the fourth inning—Jose Ramirez drove in two with a home run—and that margin held through the final out. Sean Burke pitched five innings for Chicago, surrendering both runs on four strikeouts. The White Sox managed one hit: Sam Antonacci went 1-for-4. No runs crossed after the fourth inning.
Who covered the spread in Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians?
Cleveland Guardians covered the -1.5 spread, winning by two runs. The line remained steady at -1.5 from open to close.
Did Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians go over or under the total?
The game finished under the 7-run total, with only 2 runs scored. The total opened at 7.5 and moved down 0.5 to 7 before kickoff.
How did AiQ's Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians predictions do?
AiQ posted a 72–34 record across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: picked Cleveland Guardians at -139 – WIN (+$71.94 on a $100 bet)
- Spread: picked Cleveland Guardians -1.5 – WIN
- Total: picked under 7 – WIN
- Player props: 71–34 overall
AiQ correctly identified the Guardians as the winner, the spread result, and the under total.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record was 71–34. Among the graded picks:
- Sean Burke over 3.5 strikeouts at -126; actual 4 – WIN
- Munetaka Murakami over 0.5 total bases at -110; actual 0 – LOSS
- Jo Adell over 0.5 total bases at -165; actual 1 – WIN
- Nathaniel Lowe over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIs at -173; actual 0 – LOSS
- Jo Adell over 0.5 RBIs at +169; actual 0 – LOSS
- Sam Antonacci over 0.5 total bases at -185; actual 1 – WIN
- Jo Adell over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at -101; actual 1 – LOSS
- Jo Adell over 0.5 hits at -180; actual 1 – WIN
- Jose Ramirez over 0.5 runs scored at +117; actual 1 – WIN
- Patrick Bailey over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIs at -176; actual 0 – LOSS
- Miguel Vargas over 0.5 runs scored at +124; actual 0 – LOSS
- Chase Meidroth over 0.5 total bases at -160; actual 0 – LOSS
Wins clustered around pitchers exceeding strikeout lines and single-category hitting props, while several of Jo Adell's multi-category plays fell short.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians game prop results: first five innings and team totals
- First-five-innings total 3.5: Under (paid -102); 2 runs scored
- First-five-innings moneyline: Cleveland Guardians won (paid -166)
- Chicago White Sox team total 3.5: Under (paid -135); 0 runs
- Cleveland Guardians team total 3.5: Under (paid -110); 2 runs
The pitcher-dominated first half drove all related unders.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline showed Chicago White Sox at +123 and Cleveland Guardians at -139, implying a 44% chance for Chicago and 56% for Cleveland after removing the 3.0% vig. The spread held at -1.5, and the total shifted from 7.5 to 7.0. Cleveland's -139 odds paid $71.94 on a $100 stake. AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation placed the Guardians at -134, a -1.4% edge. The market price was negative-EV for AiQ's confidence level, even though the Guardians won and covered.
Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians betting trends: 2026 season
The White Sox sit at 87–80 through 167 games, with a 48–35 home record and 39–45 away. Against the spread in 163 games they are 95–68, and the total went over 92 times and finished under 69 times. Chicago has lost three straight games.
The Guardians are 85–78 after 163 games, posting a 42–41 home mark and 43–37 away. Against the spread in 162 games they are 79–83, and the total went over 81 times and finished under 80 times. Cleveland has won three consecutive games.
What's next for Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians?
The Cleveland Guardians travel to Tampa Bay to face the Rays on Tuesday, October 20.