Tampa Bay Rays defeat New York Yankees 4-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Oct 7, 2026 · MLB · Tampa Bay Rays 4, New York Yankees 3
The Tampa Bay Rays beat the New York Yankees 4-3 on Wednesday, October 7, 2026, at Yankee Stadium. The Tampa Bay Rays covered the run line as 1.5-run underdogs. The total pushed: 7 runs, exactly the closing total of 7. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost, and its player props went 68-38.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees final score and game recap
It was 2-2 after five innings. The Tampa Bay Rays outscored the New York Yankees 2-1 the rest of the way.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Nick Martinez (Tampa Bay Rays): 3.2 innings, 2 earned runs, 3 strikeouts.
- Victor Mesa Jr. (Tampa Bay Rays): 1-for-4, 1 home run, 2 RBIs, 1 run.
- Max Fried (New York Yankees): 5.2 innings, 4 earned runs, 7 strikeouts.
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): 2-for-4, 1 RBI, 1 run.
Who covered the spread in Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees?
The Tampa Bay Rays covered the run line as 1.5-run underdogs and won outright, by 1 run.
The run line opened and closed at New York Yankees -1.5.
Did Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees go over or under the total?
The total pushed: 7 runs combined, exactly the closing total of 7.
The total opened and closed at 7.
How did AiQ's Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost, and its player props went 68-38.
- Moneyline: the New York Yankees to win at -175, a loss (-$100 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 68-38.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees player prop results
AiQ's player prop picks went 68-38 in this game.
- Austin Wells (New York Yankees): over 0.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at -163, finished with 0, a loss.
- Ben Rice (New York Yankees): over 0.5 runs batted in at +178, finished with 1, a win.
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): over 1.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at +106, finished with 2, a win.
- Liam Hicks (Tampa Bay Rays): over 0.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at -177, finished with 0, a loss.
- Ryan Vilade (Tampa Bay Rays): over 0.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at -135, finished with 3, a win.
- Ben Rice (New York Yankees): over 0.5 runs at -120, finished with 0, a loss.
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): over 0.5 hits + runs + runs batted in at -154, finished with 2, a win.
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): over 0.5 total bases at -140, finished with 1, a win.
- Liam Hicks (Tampa Bay Rays): over 0.5 total bases at -156, finished with 0, a loss.
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): over 0.5 total bases at -185, finished with 1, a win.
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): over 0.5 hits at -228, finished with 1, a win.
- Victor Mesa Jr. (Tampa Bay Rays): over 0.5 hits at -155, finished with 1, a win.
- 94 more picks are in the record above but not listed.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees game prop results: team totals and first five innings
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- Tampa Bay Rays team total 2.5: the over, paying -145, with 4 scored.
- New York Yankees team total 3.5: the under, paying +110, with 3 scored.
- First-five-innings moneyline: the first five innings were tied, so bets were refunded.
- First-five-innings total 3.5: the over, paying -140, with 4 runs scored.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Tampa Bay Rays at +145 and the New York Yankees at -175. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the New York Yankees a 61% favorite. The Tampa Bay Rays won as the underdog at +145: $145 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the New York Yankees, the best price before the game was -168 at FanDuel: priced below fair (−2.5% value).
Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Tampa Bay Rays 3-0 in the 2026 postseason (2-0 at home, 1-0 away or at neutral sites). Against the run line, they covered in 2 of 3 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 1 time and under 1 time, with 1 push. That made it three straight wins for the Tampa Bay Rays.
This result left the New York Yankees 2-3 in the 2026 postseason (2-1 at home, 0-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the run line, they covered in 3 of 5 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 1 time, with 1 push. That made it three straight losses for the New York Yankees.
What's next for Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees?
Next for the Tampa Bay Rays: the Cleveland Guardians at home on Monday, October 12, 2026.