Florida Gators vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 10

Tue, Nov 10, 6:00 PM ET · Tucker Center · NCAAB

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Florida Gators at Florida State Seminoles is on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, at Tucker Center.

The story

Both teams have won both of their games this season.

Moneyline

AiQ gives Florida Gators a 62% confidence rating to beat Florida State Seminoles, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is an 82.4% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 83.3%. The price on record, -550, is priced below the fair price of -469 (−2.6% value).

Total

AiQ gives the over 164.5 points a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.

Spread

AiQ gives Florida Gators -9.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.

Trends in play

Recent totals lean over. The Florida State Seminoles went over the total in 8 of their last 10 games.

Against the spread, the records pull in opposite directions. The Florida State Seminoles covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Florida Gators covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.