Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 10

Tue, Nov 10, 7:00 PM ET · Canadian Tire Centre · NHL

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators is on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, at Canadian Tire Centre. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Washington Capitals 3, Ottawa Senators 3. That is an average, not a pick.

The story

The Washington Capitals have won 9 of their 15 games this season, winning three of the last five. The Ottawa Senators have won 11 of their 18 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on March 18, 2026, the Washington Capitals won 4-1 at home.

Matchups to watch

Moneyline

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Ottawa Senators a 55.1% chance to beat Washington Capitals. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -130, is priced below the fair price of -123 (−2.5% value).

Total

The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 46.9% and the under at 53.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.4 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.

Puck line

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Washington Capitals +1.5 a 67.2% chance to cover and Ottawa Senators -1.5 32.8%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.

Against the puck line, the records pull in opposite directions. The Washington Capitals failed to cover the puck line in 7 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Ottawa Senators failed to cover the puck line in 7 of 10 games as favorites this season.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.

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