Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 10

Tue, Nov 10, 7:00 PM ET · Scotiabank Arena · NHL

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs is on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, at Scotiabank Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Colorado Avalanche 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3. That is an average, not a pick.

The story

The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 8 of their 19 games this season, losing the last three. The Colorado Avalanche have won 10 of their 18 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on October 10, 2026, the Toronto Maple Leafs won 6-3 on the road. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch

• The probable starting goalies are Mackenzie Blackwood (not yet confirmed, .901 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Colorado Avalanche and Sergei Bobrovsky (not yet confirmed, .886 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Toronto Maple Leafs.
• Mismatch in shots. The Colorado Avalanche averaged 30.6 shots on goal per game this season, the 3rd most in the NHL, and the Toronto Maple Leafs allowed 29.6 shots on goal per game, the 6th most.

Moneyline

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Colorado Avalanche a 59.0% chance to beat Toronto Maple Leafs. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -155, is priced below the fair price of -144 (−2.9% value).

Total

The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 50.9% and the under at 49.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.7 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.

Puck line

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Colorado Avalanche -1.5 a 37.5% chance to cover and Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 62.5%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.

Trends in play

The total pulls both ways. The last 4 games involving the Toronto Maple Leafs went under the total. Meanwhile, the Colorado Avalanche went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

Recent results against the puck line back the Colorado Avalanche. The Toronto Maple Leafs failed to cover the puck line in 8 of 10 home games this season.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.