Tampa Bay Lightning defeat Minnesota Wild 4-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · NHL · Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Minnesota Wild 3
The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Minnesota Wild 4-3 in overtime on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Grand Casino Arena. The Minnesota Wild covered the puck line as 1.5-goal underdogs. The game went over the closing total of 6.5, with 7 goals combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Minnesota Wild final score and game recap
The Minnesota Wild led 2-0 after the first period and 2-1 after two periods. The Tampa Bay Lightning outscored the Minnesota Wild 2-1 in the third period. It was tied 3-3 at the end of regulation. The Tampa Bay Lightning won it in overtime.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Jake Guentzel (Tampa Bay Lightning): 2 goals, 1 assist.
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous (Tampa Bay Lightning): 1 goal, 2 assists.
- Maxim Shabanov (Minnesota Wild): 2 goals.
- Calvin Pickard (Minnesota Wild): 30 saves on 34 shots.
Who covered the spread in Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Minnesota Wild?
The Minnesota Wild covered the puck line as 1.5-goal underdogs, losing by 1 goal.
The puck line opened and closed at Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5.
Did Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Minnesota Wild go over or under the total?
The game went over: 7 goals combined against a closing total of 6.5, over by 0.5.
The total opened and closed at 6.5.
How did AiQ's Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Minnesota Wild predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
- Moneyline: the Tampa Bay Lightning to win at -135, a win (+$74.07 on a $100 bet).
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Minnesota Wild game prop results: team totals and first period
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- Minnesota Wild team total 3.5: the under, paying -172, with 3 scored.
- First-period moneyline: Minnesota Wild won the first period, paying +100.
- Tampa Bay Lightning team total 3.5: the over, paying +104, with 4 scored.
- First-period total 1.5: the over, paying -160, with 2 goals scored.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Minnesota Wild odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Tampa Bay Lightning at -137 and the Minnesota Wild at +115. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Tampa Bay Lightning a 55% favorite. The Tampa Bay Lightning won as the favorite at -137: $72.99 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Tampa Bay Lightning, the best price before the game was -134 at FanDuel: priced below fair (−2.6% value).
Tampa Bay Lightning and Minnesota Wild betting trends: 2026-27 season
This result left the Tampa Bay Lightning 11-5 in the 2026-27 regular season (8-0 at home, 3-5 away or at neutral sites). Against the puck line, they covered in 8 of 15 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 8 times and under 7 times. That made it three straight wins for the Tampa Bay Lightning.
This result left the Minnesota Wild 12-7 in the 2026-27 regular season (5-2 at home, 7-5 away or at neutral sites). Against the puck line, they covered in 12 of 17 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 6 times and under 11 times.
What's next for Tampa Bay Lightning and Minnesota Wild?
Next for the Tampa Bay Lightning: at the Winnipeg Jets on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Next for the Minnesota Wild: at the Montreal Canadiens on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.