Montreal Canadiens defeat Toronto Maple Leafs 4-2: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · NHL · Montreal Canadiens 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
The Montreal Canadiens beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-2 on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Scotiabank Arena. The Montreal Canadiens covered the puck line as 1.5-goal favorites. The game went under the closing total of 6.5, with 6 goals combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs final score and game recap
The Montreal Canadiens led 2-0 after the first period and 3-0 after two periods. The Toronto Maple Leafs outscored the Montreal Canadiens 2-1 in the third period. The Montreal Canadiens led at the end of every period.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Alex Newhook (Montreal Canadiens): 2 goals.
- Jacob Fowler (Montreal Canadiens): 26 saves on 28 shots.
- Sergei Bobrovsky (Toronto Maple Leafs): 24 saves on 28 shots.
- Gavin McKenna (Toronto Maple Leafs): 1 goal.
Who covered the spread in Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs?
The Montreal Canadiens covered the puck line as 1.5-goal favorites, winning by 2 goals.
The puck line opened and closed at Montreal Canadiens -1.5.
Did Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs go over or under the total?
The game went under: 6 goals combined against a closing total of 6.5, under by 0.5.
The total opened and closed at 6.5.
How did AiQ's Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
- Moneyline: the Montreal Canadiens to win at -122, a win (+$81.97 on a $100 bet).
Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs game prop results: team totals and first period
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- Montreal Canadiens team total 3.5: the over, paying +104, with 4 scored.
- First-period total 1.5: the over, paying -166, with 2 goals scored.
- First-period moneyline: Montreal Canadiens won the first period, paying -122.
- Toronto Maple Leafs team total 3.5: the under, paying -156, with 2 scored.
Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Montreal Canadiens at -123 and the Toronto Maple Leafs at +104. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Montreal Canadiens a 53% favorite. The Montreal Canadiens won as the favorite at -123: $81.30 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Montreal Canadiens, the price before the game was -122: priced below fair (−4.5% value).
Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Maple Leafs betting trends: 2026-27 season
This result left the Montreal Canadiens 11-6 in the 2026-27 regular season (5-4 at home, 6-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the puck line, they covered in 6 of 16 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 11 times and under 5 times. That made it two straight wins for the Montreal Canadiens.
This result left the Toronto Maple Leafs 8-10 in the 2026-27 regular season (4-6 at home, 4-4 away or at neutral sites). Against the puck line, they covered in 8 of 17 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 10 times and under 7 times. That made it two straight losses for the Toronto Maple Leafs.
What's next for Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Maple Leafs?
Next for the Montreal Canadiens: the Minnesota Wild at home on Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Next for the Toronto Maple Leafs: the New Jersey Devils at home on Sunday, November 8, 2026.