Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Rangers Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 5

Thu, Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET · Madison Square Garden · NHL

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers is on Thursday, November 5, 2026, at Madison Square Garden. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Philadelphia Flyers 3, New York Rangers 3. That is an average, not a pick.

The story

The Philadelphia Flyers have won 4 of their 17 games this season, winning one of the last five. The New York Rangers have won 8 of their 16 games this season, winning one of the last five. When these teams last met, on March 9, 2026, the New York Rangers won 6-2 on the road.

Matchups to watch

• The probable starting goalies are Dan Vladar (not yet confirmed, .883 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Philadelphia Flyers and James Reimer (not yet confirmed) for the New York Rangers.
• An uphill climb on the power play. The Philadelphia Flyers scored on 16.7% of their power plays this season, the 6th lowest in the NHL, and the New York Rangers allowed opponents to score on 9.6% of their power plays, the lowest.
• Weakness against weakness in shots. The New York Rangers averaged 25.3 shots on goal per game this season, the 6th fewest in the NHL, and the Philadelphia Flyers allowed 29.3 shots on goal per game, tied for the 7th most.

Moneyline

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New York Rangers a 59.5% chance to beat Philadelphia Flyers. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -152 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -147 (−1.4% value).

Total

AiQ's model puts the over 5.5 goals at 50.0% and the under at 50.0%. Too few books post this number for a market price, so AiQ has no pick on the total. AiQ's projected total, 5.9 goals, sits on the 5.5 line.

Puck line

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 a 62.2% chance to cover and New York Rangers -1.5 37.8%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.

Trends in play

Everything points over on the total. The last 5 games involving the Philadelphia Flyers went over the total. Of the last 4 meetings between the New York Rangers and the Philadelphia Flyers, 3 went over the total.

Recent results against the puck line back the New York Rangers. The New York Rangers covered the puck line in 7 of 9 home games this season.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.