Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 5
Thu, Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET · Little Caesars Arena · NHL
Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.
Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings is on Thursday, November 5, 2026, at Little Caesars Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Vegas Golden Knights 3, Detroit Red Wings 3. That is an average, not a pick.
The story
The Vegas Golden Knights have won 10 of their 17 games this season, winning two of the last five. The Detroit Red Wings have won 7 of their 16 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on March 4, 2026, the Vegas Golden Knights won 4-3 on the road.
Matchups to watch
- The probable starting goalies are Carter Hart (not yet confirmed, .893 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Vegas Golden Knights and John Gibson (not yet confirmed, .860 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Detroit Red Wings.
- Mismatch on the power play. The Vegas Golden Knights scored on 29.4% of their power plays this season, the 6th highest in the NHL, and the Detroit Red Wings allowed opponents to score on 30.0% of their power plays, tied for the 7th highest.
Moneyline
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Vegas Golden Knights a 56.9% chance to beat Detroit Red Wings. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -141 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -132 (−2.8% value).
Total
AiQ's model puts the over 5.5 goals at 50.0% and the under at 50.0%. Too few books post this number for a market price, so AiQ has no pick on the total. AiQ's projected total, 5.9 goals, sits on the 5.5 line.
Puck line
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 a 33.3% chance to cover and Detroit Red Wings +1.5 66.7%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play
Recent results against the puck line back the Vegas Golden Knights. The Detroit Red Wings failed to cover the puck line in 5 of 7 home games this season.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.