Ottawa Senators defeat Buffalo Sabres 2-1: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Nov 4, 2026 · NHL · Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 1
The Ottawa Senators beat the Buffalo Sabres 2-1 on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at KeyBank Center. The Ottawa Senators covered the puck line as 1.5-goal underdogs. The game went under the closing total of 6.5, with 3 goals combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost.
Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres final score and game recap
Neither team had scored after the first period. The Buffalo Sabres led 1-0 after two periods. The Ottawa Senators outscored the Buffalo Sabres 2-0 in the third period. They came back from a 1-goal deficit after two periods.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Samuel Ersson (Ottawa Senators): 24 saves on 25 shots.
- Michael Amadio (Ottawa Senators): 1 goal.
- Colten Ellis (Buffalo Sabres): 28 saves on 30 shots.
- Peyton Krebs (Buffalo Sabres): 1 goal.
Who covered the spread in Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres?
The Ottawa Senators covered the puck line as 1.5-goal underdogs and won outright, by 1 goal.
The puck line opened and closed at Buffalo Sabres -1.5.
Did Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres go over or under the total?
The game went under: 3 goals combined against a closing total of 6.5, under by 3.5.
The total opened and closed at 6.5.
How did AiQ's Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost.
- Moneyline: the Buffalo Sabres to win at -130, a loss (-$100 on a $100 bet).
Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres game prop results: first period and team totals
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-period moneyline: the first period was tied, so bets were refunded.
- Ottawa Senators team total 3.5: the under, paying -156, with 2 scored.
- First-period total 1.5: the under, paying +135, with 0 goals scored.
- Buffalo Sabres team total 3.5: the under, paying -124, with 1 scored.
Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Ottawa Senators at +110 and the Buffalo Sabres at -130. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Buffalo Sabres a 54% favorite. The Ottawa Senators won as the underdog at +110: $110 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Buffalo Sabres, the best price before the game was -127 at BetRivers: priced below fair (−3.5% value).
Ottawa Senators and Buffalo Sabres betting trends: 2026-27 season
This result left the Ottawa Senators 10-7 in the 2026-27 regular season (5-2 at home, 5-5 away or at neutral sites). Against the puck line, they covered in 6 of 16 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 6 times and under 10 times.
This result left the Buffalo Sabres 7-8 in the 2026-27 regular season (3-4 at home, 4-4 away or at neutral sites). Against the puck line, they covered in 5 of 12 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 6 times and under 6 times.
What's next for Ottawa Senators and Buffalo Sabres?
Next for the Ottawa Senators: the Utah Mammoth at home on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Next for the Buffalo Sabres: the Columbus Blue Jackets at home on Friday, November 6, 2026.