Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 1
Sun, Nov 1, 3:30 PM ET · Capital One Arena · NHL
Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.
Minnesota Wild at Washington Capitals is on Sunday, November 1, 2026, at Capital One Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Minnesota Wild 3, Washington Capitals 3. That is an average, not a pick.
The story
The Washington Capitals have won 8 of their 12 games this season, winning the last three. The Minnesota Wild have won 9 of their 15 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on December 16, 2025, the Minnesota Wild won 5-0 at home.
Matchups to watch
- The probable starting goalies are Jesper Wallstedt (confirmed, .916 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Minnesota Wild and Logan Thompson (not yet confirmed, .903 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Washington Capitals.
- Strength against strength in scoring. The Washington Capitals averaged 3.58 goals per game this season, the 8th most in the NHL, and the Minnesota Wild allowed 2.33 goals per game, tied for the 2nd fewest.
Moneyline
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Washington Capitals a 50.0% chance to beat Minnesota Wild. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors, here by less than a point. The price on record, -108, is priced below the fair price of -100 (−3.6% value).
Total
The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 45.3% and the under at 54.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.2 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
Puck line
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Minnesota Wild +1.5 a 71.6% chance to cover and Washington Capitals -1.5 28.4%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play
Recent results against the puck line back the Minnesota Wild, the underdog here. The Minnesota Wild covered the puck line in 7 of 9 road games this season.
The total pulls both ways. The Minnesota Wild went under the total in 7 of 9 road games this season. Meanwhile, the Washington Capitals went over the total in 6 of 8 home games this season.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.