Colorado Avalanche defeat Tampa Bay Lightning 6-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Fri, Oct 23, 2026 · NHL · Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Colorado Avalanche 6
The Colorado Avalanche beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 6-3 on Friday, October 23, 2026, at Ball Arena. The Colorado Avalanche covered the puck line as 1.5-goal favorites. The game went over the closing total of 6.5, with 9 goals combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche final score and game recap
The Colorado Avalanche led 2-0 after the first period and 4-2 after two periods. They outscored the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-1 in the third period. They led at the end of every period.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Jake Guentzel (Tampa Bay Lightning): 2 goals.
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous (Tampa Bay Lightning): 1 goal, 1 assist.
- Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado Avalanche): 1 goal, 3 assists.
- Martin Necas (Colorado Avalanche): 1 goal, 2 assists.
Who covered the spread in Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche?
The Colorado Avalanche covered the puck line as 1.5-goal favorites, winning by 3 goals.
The puck line opened and closed at Colorado Avalanche -1.5.
Did Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche go over or under the total?
The game went over: 9 goals combined against a closing total of 6.5, over by 2.5.
The total opened at 5.5 and closed at 6.5.
How did AiQ's Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
- Moneyline: the Colorado Avalanche to win at -122, a win (+$81.97 on a $100 bet).
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche game prop results: first period and team totals
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-period total 1.5: the over, paying -145, with 2 goals scored.
- Tampa Bay Lightning team total 3.5: the under, paying -180, with 3 scored.
- Tampa Bay Lightning team total 2.5: the over, paying -172, with 3 scored.
- First-period moneyline: Colorado Avalanche won the first period, paying -118.
- Colorado Avalanche team total 2.5: the over, paying -205, with 6 scored.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Tampa Bay Lightning at +100 and the Colorado Avalanche at -122. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Colorado Avalanche a 52% favorite. The Colorado Avalanche won as the favorite at -122: $81.97 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Colorado Avalanche, the best price before the game was -120 at Fanatics: priced below fair (−2.2% value).
The total moved up from 5.5 to 6.5, and the game went over.
Tampa Bay Lightning and Colorado Avalanche betting trends: 2026-27 season
This result left the Tampa Bay Lightning 7-3 in the 2026-27 regular season (5-0 at home, 2-3 away or at neutral sites). Against the puck line, they covered in 4 of 9 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 4 times and under 5 times.
This result left the Colorado Avalanche 6-5 in the 2026-27 regular season (4-2 at home, 2-3 away or at neutral sites). Against the puck line, they covered in 5 of 9 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 6 times and under 3 times.
What's next for Tampa Bay Lightning and Colorado Avalanche?
Next for the Tampa Bay Lightning: at the Utah Mammoth on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Next for the Colorado Avalanche: at the Nashville Predators on Sunday, October 25, 2026.