Calgary Flames defeat Minnesota Wild 2-1: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Thu, Oct 22, 2026 · NHL · Minnesota Wild 1, Calgary Flames 2
Calgary's 2-0 first-period lead held up for a 2-1 victory over Minnesota at Scotiabank Saddledome. The Flames covered the +1.5 spread as an underdog, and the game finished under the 6.5 total with just three combined goals.
Minnesota Wild vs. Calgary Flames final score and game recap
The Flames scored twice in the opening period and never trailed. Michael McCarron broke through for Minnesota in the third, but it was too late. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 20 of 22 for the Wild. Joel Farabee added Calgary's second goal.
Who covered the spread in Minnesota Wild vs. Calgary Flames?
Calgary Flames covered at +1.5. Minnesota was a 1.5-goal favorite at -1.5, but the Flames won outright by one, beating the line.
Did Minnesota Wild vs. Calgary Flames go over or under the total?
The game went under 6.5. The total opened at 5.5 and moved up to 6.5, but three goals left it untouched.
How did AiQ's Minnesota Wild vs. Calgary Flames predictions do?
AiQ went 0-1 across every graded pick.
- Moneyline: Minnesota Wild at -214 (65% confidence) – LOSS (-$100 on a $100 bet)
The model identified Minnesota as the stronger side but the upset result cost the pick.
Minnesota Wild vs. Calgary Flames game prop results: first period and team totals
- First-period moneyline: Calgary Flames won the first period (paid +140)
- First-period total 1.5: Over, with two goals scored (paid -130)
- Calgary Flames team total 1.5: Over, as the Flames posted two goals (paid -300)
- Minnesota Wild team total 3.5: Under, the Wild managed only one goal (paid -106)
Calgary's early burst determined most prop outcomes. Minnesota's single goal kept its team total under.
Minnesota Wild vs. Calgary Flames odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Minnesota Wild -214 and Calgary Flames +175, implying a 65% win probability for Minnesota after vigorish removal. The vig was 4.5%. AiQ's pre-game expected value for the Wild was -1.8% at -200, a negative-EV price where the model liked the side but not the offered price. The market's implied 65% probability matched AiQ's calibrated estimate.
Minnesota Wild and Calgary Flames betting trends: 2026-27 season
Minnesota sits 6-5 through 11 games, unbeaten at home (4-0) but struggling on the road (2-5). Against the spread in nine games with a recorded closing spread, they are 5-4. In nine total-line games, they are 3 overs and 6 unders. They have lost two straight.
Calgary is 3-6 in nine contests, 2-3 at home and 1-3 away. They stand 3-4 against the spread in seven games with a recorded closing spread and 3 overs to 4 unders in seven total-line games. They have won two straight.
What's next for Minnesota Wild and Calgary Flames?
Minnesota travels to Seattle to face the Kraken on Saturday, October 24. Calgary hosts the Detroit Red Wings at the Saddledome the same night.