Dallas Stars defeat Winnipeg Jets 3-2: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Thu, Oct 22, 2026 · NHL · Winnipeg Jets 2, Dallas Stars 3
Dallas Stars defeated Winnipeg Jets 3–2 on Thursday at American Airlines Center, covering the -1.5 spread while the game finished under 5.5 total goals.
Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars final score and game recap
Winnipeg scored twice in the second period, and Dallas scored three goals across the final two periods.
Stuart Skinner made 35 saves on 38 shots for Winnipeg. Kyle Connor scored the Jets' only goal. Roope Hintz scored twice for Dallas, and Wyatt Johnston added a goal and an assist.
Who covered the spread in Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars?
Winnipeg covered the +1.5 spread despite losing. Dallas entered as the -1.5 favorite but won by one goal, allowing the Jets to beat the line. The spread did not move from open to close.
Did Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars go over or under the total?
The game finished under 5.5 with five combined goals. Scoring progressed 0–0, 2–1, 2–2, and 3–2 across the four periods, never reaching six goals. The total line held steady.
How did AiQ's Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars predictions do?
AiQ posted a perfect 1–0 record.
- Moneyline: Dallas Stars at -201 – WIN (+$49.75 on a $100 bet)
Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars game prop results: first period and team totals
- First-period moneyline: Tied; all wagers refunded.
- Dallas Stars team total 3.5: Under (paid -134). The Stars scored three goals.
- First-period total 1.5: Under (paid -115). Zero goals scored in the opening frame.
- Winnipeg Jets team total 1.5: Over (paid -250). The Jets scored two goals.
Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Winnipeg was listed at +166 and Dallas at -201, implying a 36% win probability for the Jets and 64% for the Stars after vig removal. The bookmaker's margin was 4.4%. AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation placed the Dallas moneyline at -0.9% when priced at -192 (the best available at FanDuel). That price was negative-EV, meaning the model liked the Stars but did not consider the line a value bet. The market implied 65% for Dallas, matching AiQ's calibrated estimate.
Winnipeg Jets and Dallas Stars betting trends: 2026-27 season
Winnipeg sits 4–6 through ten games, split evenly between home (2–3) and away/neutral (2–3). The Jets have covered the spread in seven of ten contests and have been under the total in seven of ten contests. Their last five games read L–L–L–L–W, extending a four-game losing streak.
Dallas holds a 6-4 record, also balanced at home (3-2) and away/neutral (3-2). The Stars have covered the spread in four of nine games with a recorded line and have been under the total in all nine of those contests.
What's next for Winnipeg Jets and Dallas Stars?
Winnipeg hosts Montreal Canadiens on Sunday, October 25. Dallas hosts New York Islanders the same night.