Toronto Maple Leafs defeat New York Rangers 5-4: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Thu, Oct 22, 2026 · NHL · New York Rangers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Toronto defeated New York 5-4 on Thursday at Scotiabank Arena, a one-goal margin that handed the Rangers a cover on the +1.5 spread despite the loss. The game finished at 9 combined goals, clearing the 6.5 total by 2.5.
New York Rangers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs final score and game recap
New York scored 1 goal in the first period while Toronto scored 2. New York added 2 goals in the second period to reach 3 total, while Toronto scored 2 more to reach 4. In the third period, New York scored 1 goal and Toronto scored 1 goal, finishing at 4-5.
Adam Fox led New York with four assists. Mika Zibanejad contributed a goal and an assist. For Toronto, Brandon Duhaime and Teddy Blueger each recorded a goal and an assist.
Who covered the spread in New York Rangers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs?
New York Rangers covered the +1.5 spread. Toronto entered as a -1.5 favorite but won by exactly one goal, making the Rangers the against-the-spread winners. The line held at -1.5 from open to close.
Did New York Rangers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs go over or under the total?
The game went over the 6.5 total, finishing at 9 goals—2.5 over the line. Scoring was distributed across all three periods: Rangers 1-2-1, Leafs 2-2-1.
How did AiQ's New York Rangers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs predictions do?
AiQ finished 0-1 on graded picks.
- Moneyline: Picked New York Rangers +100 – LOSS (-$100 on a $100 bet)
New York Rangers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs game prop results: team totals and first period
- New York Rangers team total 3.5: Over (paid +124); Rangers scored 4
- First-period total 1.5: Over (paid -154); 3 goals scored in the opening frame
- Toronto Maple Leafs team total 3.5: Over (paid +126); Leafs scored 5
- First-period moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs won the first period (paid -116)
New York Rangers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was New York Rangers +100 and Toronto Maple Leafs -120. Toronto won at -120, paying $83.33 on a $100 stake.
AiQ's pre-game expected value for the Rangers was -4.9% at -112, indicating the model saw the side as unattractive at market odds. AiQ's calibrated estimate placed the Rangers at 50% (vig-free), matching the market's implied probability—an even contest by the model's assessment despite Toronto's favorite status.
New York Rangers and Toronto Maple Leafs betting trends: 2026-27 season
New York Rangers sit at 7-5 overall. At home they are unbeaten (6-0); on the road they are 1-5. Against the spread in 12 games with a recorded line, they are 9-3. Their over-under record stands at 7 overs and 5 unders in the same sample. Their last five results: L, W, L, L, W.
Toronto Maple Leafs are 6-6 overall, split evenly at home (4-4) and away (2-2). Against the spread in 11 games with a recorded line, they are 5-6. They have hit the over 7 times and the under 4 times in 11 total-line games. The Leafs have won three straight, with their last five results: W, W, W, L, L.
What's next for New York Rangers and Toronto Maple Leafs?
New York travels to Ottawa to face the Senators on Saturday, October 24. Toronto heads west to Edmonton for a matchup with the Oilers on the same day.