Philadelphia Flyers defeat Ottawa Senators 3-1: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · NHL · Ottawa Senators 1, Philadelphia Flyers 3
The Philadelphia Flyers defeated the Ottawa Senators 3–1 on Saturday, covering the +1.5 spread while the total went under 5.5.
Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers final score and game recap
Philadelphia won 3–1 at Xfinity Mobile Arena. The first period ended scoreless. In the second period, Ottawa scored one goal and Philadelphia scored two goals to lead 2–1 entering the third. The Flyers added a third goal in the final period. Linus Ullmark stopped 25 of 27 shots for Ottawa, but the balanced attack from Philadelphia proved decisive.
Who covered the spread in Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers?
Philadelphia Flyers covered +1.5. Ottawa closed as a –1.5 favorite. The Flyers won by two goals, surpassing the spread requirement.
Did Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers go over or under the total?
The game finished under 5.5 with four combined goals. Scoring progression: 0–0 after one, 1–2 after two, 1–3 after three.
How did AiQ's Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers predictions do?
AiQ posted a 69–22 record across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Ottawa Senators at –164 – LOSS
- Spread: Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 – WIN
- Total: Under 5.5 – WIN
- Player props: 69–21 – WIN
AiQ correctly identified the spread and total but missed the moneyline, backing Ottawa despite the upset.
Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers player prop results
AiQ's player prop record stood at 69–21. All 12 listed props hit the under:
- Nikolas Matinpalo under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Christian Dvorak under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Porter Martone under 1.5 goals – actual 1 – WIN
- Thomas Chabot under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Stephen Halliday under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Noah Cates under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Ridly Greig under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Matvei Michkov under 1.5 goals – actual 1 – WIN
- Claude Giroux under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Tyson Foerster under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Jordan Spence under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Michael Amadio under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers game prop results: team totals and first period
- Philadelphia Flyers team total 2.5: Over (paid +100); they scored 3
- First-period moneyline: tied, bets refunded
- First-period total 1.5: Under (paid –115); 0 goals scored
- Philadelphia Flyers team total 3.5: Under (paid –340); they scored 3
- Ottawa Senators team total 3.5: Under (paid –172); they scored 1
Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The moneyline closed at Ottawa Senators –164 and Philadelphia Flyers +136. The sportsbook implied a 59% win probability for Ottawa and 41% for Philadelphia after removing the 4.5% vigorish. Philadelphia's +136 win paid $136 on a $100 stake. AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation placed Ottawa Senators at –1.8% at –150, indicating the model liked the side but found the price negative-EV. The market's implied 59% probability matched AiQ's calibrated estimate.
Ottawa Senators and Philadelphia Flyers betting trends: 2026-27 season
Ottawa Senators sit 6–3 through nine games: 3–1 at home, 3–2 on the road. They are 3–6 against the spread and 2–7 on the over/under, hitting the under seven times. Their last five results: loss, win, loss, win, win.
Philadelphia Flyers are 1–9 through ten games: 1–4 at home, 0–5 away/neutral. They sit 5–5 against the spread and 2–8 on the over/under, also leaning heavily toward unders. Their last five results: win, loss, loss, loss, loss.
What's next for Ottawa Senators and Philadelphia Flyers?
The Ottawa Senators host the Florida Panthers on Wednesday, October 21. The Philadelphia Flyers travel to face the Buffalo Sabres the same night.