New York Islanders defeat Toronto Maple Leafs 4-1: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · NHL · New York Islanders 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
New York Islanders won 4–1, covered the +1.5 spread, and the game fell under the 6.5 total.
New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs final score and game recap
The Islanders dominated at Scotiabank Arena, building a 1–0 lead after the first period and extending it to 2–0 by the second before pulling away with two goals in the third. Simon Holmstrom led the offense with two goals. Bo Horvat added a goal and an assist. Colton Sissons scored Toronto's only goal. Sergei Bobrovsky made 16 saves on 19 shots but could not contain the Islanders' third-period surge.
Who covered the spread in New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs?
The New York Islanders covered the spread at +1.5. Toronto entered as the –1.5 favorite but lost outright by three goals, and the Islanders won comfortably against the line. The spread did not move from open to close.
Did New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs go over or under the total?
The game went under the 6.5 total, finishing at five goals.
How did AiQ's New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs predictions do?
AiQ finished 67–34 across every graded pick on this game.
- Moneyline: Picked Toronto at –129 – LOSS.
- Player props: 67–33 overall.
New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs player prop results
AiQ's player prop record stood at 67–33.
- Auston Matthews to score anytime at +140 – LOSS (0).
- Colton Sissons under 1.5 goals – WIN (1).
- Tony DeAngelo under 1.5 goals – WIN (0).
- Nick Paul under 1.5 goals – WIN (0).
- Brandon Duhaime under 1.5 goals – WIN (0).
- Bo Groulx under 1.5 goals – WIN (0).
- Emil Heineman under 1.5 goals – WIN (0).
- Darren Raddysh under 1.5 goals – WIN (0).
- Casey Cizikas under 1.5 goals – WIN (0).
- Anthony Duclair under 1.5 goals – WIN (1).
- Matias Maccelli to score anytime at +320 – LOSS (0).
- Matthew Schaefer under 1.5 goals – WIN (0).
New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs game prop results: first period and team totals
- First-period moneyline: New York Islanders won the period (+102).
- First-period total 1.5: Under paid +105; only 1 goal was scored.
- Toronto Maple Leafs team total 3.5: Under paid –148; the Leafs managed 1 goal.
- New York Islanders team total 2.5: Over paid –164; the Islanders posted 4 goals.
New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The moneyline listed New York Islanders at +107 and Toronto at –129, implying a 46 percent win chance for the Islanders after removing the 4.6 percent vig. The spread did not move from open to close at Toronto –1.5. A $100 stake on the Islanders at +107 returned $107. AiQ's pre-game moneyline pick at –135 carried –2.9 percent expected value, indicating negative-EV pricing despite AiQ's 56 percent confidence, which matched the market's vig-free probability.
New York Islanders and Toronto Maple Leafs betting trends: 2026-27 season
The Islanders sit at 4–4 overall, 3–1 at home and 1–3 away. They are 5–3 against the spread in eight games with a recorded closing spread, and their total line has gone under five times and over three. Their last five results read W, L, W, L, W.
The Maple Leafs are 3–6 overall, 2–4 at home and 1–2 away. They are 3–5 against the spread in eight games, and their total line has hit the over five times and the under three. They are on a three-game losing streak, with their last five results reading L, L, L, W, L.
What's next for New York Islanders and Toronto Maple Leafs?
The Islanders will host the Anaheim Ducks on Tuesday, October 20. The Maple Leafs travel to Columbus to face the Blue Jackets that same night.