Minnesota Wild defeat St. Louis Blues 5-4: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Thu, Oct 15, 2026 · NHL · St. Louis Blues 4, Minnesota Wild 5
Minnesota Wild defeated St. Louis Blues 5-4 on Thursday at Grand Casino Arena. St. Louis covered the +1.5 spread despite the loss, and the game finished over the 5.5 total at nine combined goals.
St. Louis Blues vs. Minnesota Wild final score and game recap
Minnesota's second period proved decisive. The Wild scored three goals in the second period to build a 5-2 advantage.
The Blues mounted a late rally, scoring twice in the final frame to narrow the gap to 5-4, but could not complete the comeback.
Joel Hofer made 33 saves on 38 shots for St. Louis. Matt Boldy led Minnesota with three goals and one assist, while Kirill Kaprizov added one goal and two assists. Robert Thomas supplied St. Louis with one goal and one assist.
Who covered the spread in St. Louis Blues vs. Minnesota Wild?
St. Louis covered the +1.5 spread as an underdog, winning the bet despite losing the game by one goal. Minnesota entered as a -1.5 favorite and won by exactly one, leaving bettors on the Blues in the black. The line held steady at -1.5 from open to close.
Did St. Louis Blues vs. Minnesota Wild go over or under the total?
The game went over the 5.5 total, finishing at nine goals—3.5 over the line. Minnesota's three-goal second period drove most of the scoring surge, with St. Louis adding two goals in the third to finish well past the closing number.
How did AiQ's St. Louis Blues vs. Minnesota Wild predictions do?
AiQ posted a 64-35 record across all graded picks for this contest, sweeping the primary markets:
- Moneyline: Minnesota Wild at -144 – WIN (+$69.44 on a $100 bet)
- Spread: St. Louis Blues +1.5 – WIN
- Total: Over 5.5 – WIN
- Player props: 63-35 – WIN
The model correctly identified the Wild as the moneyline favorite and the over on the total, while also picking the underdog to cover the spread.
St. Louis Blues vs. Minnesota Wild player prop results
AiQ's player prop record stood at 63-35. Of the 12 listed picks, 11 won:
- Jonas Brodin under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Bobby Brink under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Philip Broberg under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Jake Neighbours over 0.5 goals at +350 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Justin Barron under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Ryan Hartman under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Maxim Shabanov under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Quinn Hughes under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Adam Jiricek under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Ross Johnston under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Dalibor Dvorsky under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Michael McCarron under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
St. Louis Blues vs. Minnesota Wild game prop results: first period and team totals
- First-period moneyline: Minnesota Wild won the period at -130
- Minnesota Wild team total 2.5: Over at -215; the Wild scored 5 goals
- St. Louis Blues team total 2.5: Over at -132; the Blues scored 4 goals
- First-period total 1.5: Over at -130; 3 goals were scored in the opening frame
St. Louis Blues vs. Minnesota Wild odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was St. Louis Blues +120 versus Minnesota Wild -144, translating to implied probabilities of 44% for the Blues and 56% for the Wild after vig removal. The bookmaker's margin sat at 4.5%. Minnesota's -144 odds paid $69.44 on a $100 wager.
AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation used a -136 price, indicating -1.4% EV—the model liked the Wild but deemed the offered price unfavorable. The market's implied 57% win probability aligned with AiQ's calibrated estimate of 57%, confirming the model's probability assessment.
St. Louis Blues and Minnesota Wild betting trends: 2026-27 season
St. Louis Blues sit at 3-4 overall, 1-1 at home and 2-3 on the road. They are 4-3 against the spread in seven games with recorded lines and have hit the over in five of those contests, unders in two. Their last five results read L, W, W, L, L.
Minnesota Wild are 5-3 overall, unbeaten at home at 3-0 and 2-3 away. They stand 4-2 against the spread in six games with recorded lines and have been under the total in four of six outings. Their recent run is W, L, W, W, L.
What's next for St. Louis Blues and Minnesota Wild?
The Blues will host the Winnipeg Jets on Tuesday, October 20. The Wild travel to face the Edmonton Oilers the same night.