Ottawa Senators defeat New York Islanders 2-1: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Thu, Oct 15, 2026 · NHL · New York Islanders 1, Ottawa Senators 2
Ottawa Senators defeated New York Islanders 2–1 on Thursday, October 15, at Canadian Tire Centre. The Islanders covered the spread at +1.5 despite the loss, while the total finished under 5.5.
New York Islanders vs. Ottawa Senators final score and game recap
Matias Maccelli gave New York the early lead with a first-period goal. Ottawa tied it in the second when Ridly Greig scored.
Semyon Varlamov stopped 18 of 19 shots for New York. Linus Ullmark made 20 saves on 21 attempts for Ottawa.
Who covered the spread in New York Islanders vs. Ottawa Senators?
New York Islanders covered as +1.5 underdogs. Ottawa entered as the -1.5 favorite but won by only one goal, leaving bettors who took the Islanders on the right side of the line. The spread held steady from open to close.
Did New York Islanders vs. Ottawa Senators go over or under the total?
The total fell 2.5 goals short of the line.
How did AiQ's New York Islanders vs. Ottawa Senators predictions do?
AiQ posted an 84–24 record across every graded pick on this contest.
- Moneyline: Ottawa Senators at -164 – WIN (+$60.98 on a $100 bet)
- Player props: 83–24
New York Islanders vs. Ottawa Senators player prop results
AiQ's player prop record on this game was 83–24. All 12 listed props hit, with the two goal-scorers—Maccelli and Greig—each reaching one goal while staying under the 1.5 line.
- Casey Cizikas under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Tim Stutzle under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Anthony Duclair under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Shane Pinto under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Matias Maccelli under 1.5 goals; actual 1 — WIN
- Tony DeAngelo under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Ridly Greig under 1.5 goals; actual 1 — WIN
- Michael Amadio under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Fabian Zetterlund under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Brayden Schenn under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Carter Yakemchuk under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Drake Batherson under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
New York Islanders vs. Ottawa Senators game prop results: team totals and first period
- New York Islanders team total 3.5: Under (paid -330); they scored 1
- First-period moneyline: New York Islanders won the first period (paid +124)
- First-period total 1.5: Under (paid -115); 1 goal was scored
- Ottawa Senators team total 3.5: Under (paid -146); they scored 2
Both teams finished well below their team-total lines, with the Islanders' early goal satisfying the first-period under.
New York Islanders vs. Ottawa Senators odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was New York Islanders +136 and Ottawa Senators -164, implying win probabilities of 41 percent and 59 percent after vigorish removal. The bookmaker margin was 4.5 percent. Ottawa's -164 moneyline paid $60.98 on a $100 wager.
AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation placed the Senators at -2.6 percent at -160, indicating the market price was slightly unfavorable. The implied market probability of 60 percent matched AiQ's calibrated estimate, confirming model alignment despite the negative expected value at the closing price.
New York Islanders and Ottawa Senators betting trends: 2026-27 season
New York sits 3–4 through seven games, with a 3–1 home record and 0–3 on the road. Against the spread, the Islanders are 4–3 in games with a recorded closing spread and have hit the under four times while going over three times. Their last five results read loss, win, loss, win, loss.
Ottawa is 6–2 after eight contests, posting identical 3–1 records at home and on the road. Against the spread, the Senators are 3–5 in eight games with a recorded spread. They have gone under six times versus two overs in total-line games. Their recent run is win, loss, win, win, win.
What's next for New York Islanders and Ottawa Senators?
New York hosts Anaheim on Tuesday, October 20. Ottawa welcomes Florida on Wednesday, October 21.